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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Oh, I saw when you posted that earlier, thanks. With the latest model runs I am going to have to do some ninja/hide from the neighbors watering tomorrow AM assuming we get no rain all weekend while I am gone.
  2. The departure pages are not working for me right now. They all show major deficits which is not right. https://www.weather.gov/marfc/SouthPrecipitation90Day
  3. Where can I send the invoice? Maybe you can return those poncho's and send the $$$ to me :-)
  4. For my money, the ensemble precip maps are risky to use. Low location ok, but precip maps are influenced by western outliers. The low location is as well but its only one spot vs. the outlier precip bands which may not be realistic. Just need the Euro to reverse course and become the Western model to get a real effect of winter model watching this week.
  5. As you mentioned, Jan and Feb were indeed super torches. Really went a long way to having minimal heating bills but I would like snow.
  6. I think you are right plus the large majority of the average population feels the effects during the day more than the night if they close their windows and have their AC on.
  7. Yea, as I have said probably 4-5 times now, I cannot get on board of anything that says we had a hot summer compared to recent times. Since the norms are 30 years adjusted it does skew that olden time summers were cooler, no debate IMO, but this summer was a delight temp wise as it pertains to the last 20-30 years.
  8. We are in winter warm up mode here...any and all models welcome if they show what we want :-).
  9. 46 this AM. CMC still a PA flooder (but the Rgem does not drive the low inland like its papa) , GFS and Icon almost nothing outside the LSV and east....heavy rains confined east of the LSV on Icon and LSV on the GFS, and Euro still a no go for PA (Op). UKIE precip maps are between the Euro and the GFS and really a nothing event for the LSV. At this point the CMC is not looking like it has the right solution.
  10. You would never want to ruin my vaca! We are nowhere near the boardwalk but I could foresee myself going down there, umbrella in hand, to see how many rainy day Skee-Ball games it will take to get a wooden train whistle. Choo-Choo.
  11. This streamflow map shows the area very clearly (red and orange) as well as the abundance in NE PA.
  12. They went from matching the EC to not looking at all like it. Damn people who do not hug models!
  13. The least precip since 1899 through Sept 19th at an NWS managed airport rig is about as intense as they get around here.
  14. Yep, a small area of WVA, VA, MD and PA while many others are closer to normal.
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