Bubbler86

GFS and Icon are rainers as well though not the flood watch variety. The LSV dodging drips leaving the Cracker Barrel after Sunday lunch.

For a moment I thought you were busting the EtaX back out.

Maybe the flood watch should have been saved for Sunday.

I get that way too but would probably not for this series....playoffs definitely. There were times I had to isolate myself because I narrated the whole thing.

Holy RGEM's Batman....from a dry period to a soaker in 6 hours of runs. This is just 3 days out.

I saw one MA poster suggest they would have breathing issues watching the games. But I agree you are playing with house money right now.

It is really sunny out today! Hopefully the Ray's stop shining after sundown tonight.

Early 12z's bringing scattered rain chances back to PA on Sunday as the drying (negative in my book) influence from Lee lets up. EB Nooners...68 and mostly sunny.

The dryness becomes less severe each day just due to less sun and heat evap. With that said, man do we need a lot of rain down here. Latest drought map shows D2 creeping back up toward PA (in WV and VA) with small pockets of D2 in Adams and Franklin that are too small to map per my contact at USGS. Some level of drought designation in parts of 7 LSV counties. Northeast Drought Summary A slow-moving low pressure system resulted in rounds of showers and thunderstorms across the Central Appalachians and Northern Mid-Atlantic. A 1-category improvement was made to areas that received the heaviest precipitation (more than 1.5 to 2 inches) and there was a positive response among the indicators. Northern West Virginia missed out on this past week's precipitation and there was a small increase in moderate drought (D1) for that area. Based on NDMC’s drought blends, the drought impact for the Central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic was changed from “S” (short-term) to “SL” (short and long-term).

51 this AM. Lots of 40's to the north in Franklin and Cumberland.

Eagles fan of the week.

Not sure if you noticed but as posted earlier, Hagerstown airport is currently on track for their second driest year since 1899. Converted your photo

I almost posted this about Lanco....I figured you might notice. LOL

I think sometimes it is a case of people looking mostly in their back yards. In my case, the map is flawed to the tune of about 15-30% in southern Franklin and Northern Washington County, MD. Maybe a case of lessening accuracy in the drier areas. The NWS supported Chambersburg station is at 17.38" for the year while that map puts them in or close to 25-30". Hard to ascertain if it is suggesting 20-25 or 25-30.

When you are down to certain levels, I agree...extension is just not enough. 1" is certainly nowhere near enough to plow.

Looking further at HGR as to anomalous totals here are the 10 driest years in recorded history for HGR or the HGR area. If you take the current total of 16.6 and divide it by 254 (number of days already passed) you get an average of .065" per day over the year so far. Taking the .065 x 111 days left and add that total to the current total, you would end up 23.82" for the year or the second driest year since 1899. Only one year of the top 10 years, 2001, is anywhere near these records in recent times. The next most recent year in the top 10 is 1965. It is not as simple as this, but the rest of this year features normally drier months, so it is a legit discussion point. Using HGR because MDT totals do not reflect the greater level of drought along the southern tier. Current Hagerstown totals sorted by lowest to highest (Top 10)

PS, I would have taken you for a Mac user.

Thanks, I thought the 60-70 was too high. The 50" I mentioned are not Cocorahs stations but seeing other people between 45-50" makes me think some do probably have 50+. Those estimated maps drive me nuts sometimes though. HGR has to be considered a fairly reliable station since it is NWS supported and they are at 16.6" for the year so far yet if I am seeing that map right it is suggestive that no one in the area would be below 20".

We are very close to 17" so not too far off. Prior to last night a spotter in Blue Ridge was near 15" but he tacked on with a cell last night so closer to 16" now.

I believe there are some 60-70" totals in PA as well. But that was hearsay. Pretty sure there are some 50" totals though. And that 15-17" across the southern tier is for the year not since June 1. Many here are well under 10" since June 1.

I hear they are going to start lowering our water pressure to try and save our water supply. It is getting ugly.

T'ed up

HRRR gives the Western LSV a good rain from that cell just south of Adams county.

Quite the storm complex in the Balto/DC area.

I had mentioned there were several fires started just south of the M/D line last week when lightning came through. This is starting to get close to being as bad as the Great Drought of 2020. We went 3-4 months with less than 1" in 2020 so not there yet.