You would never want to ruin my vaca! We are nowhere near the boardwalk but I could foresee myself going down there, umbrella in hand, to see how many rainy day Skee-Ball games it will take to get a wooden train whistle. Choo-Choo.
Yea, the drought maps are less spectacular than they probably should be. I believe the ground water tables are holding better than expected which is lessening the large-scale effects and skewing the ratings to something less than would normally happen with this little rain and above ground stream levels with this many reds and oranges.
The Euro is back to keeping two sperate pieces of energy, something it showed a few runs ago, with the whole thing being a nothing event rainwise for most of the East coast as to Saturday. A little rain in Eastern NC and far SE DelMarVa.
This reminds me of a post I once saw when searching for something. It addresses Allison Hill and H-Burg Crime in general. A LOOOONG time ago I used to help out at the Bethesda Mission.
https://theburgnews.com/news/5-myths-harrisburg-midtown-allison-hillits-debunking-time
12Z GFS looks a lot like the WPC map as to precip distribution. Both the Icon and GFS block the low near our latitude and send to close to due east. The CMC holds it's guns for the most part and sends the SLP up into central NY. The CMC is showing no respect for the dome of HP in Canada and almost seems to find a channel for the low to slip behind it.
Kudos to them for having a nice middle ground with the different solutions on table. I had initially commented that their map was a little light for the LSV but now with some ensemble members showing zip (and the GFS op) I agree with Mitchnick that it is good for this range. Meso extended runs come into range in the next couple hours.
Yea, it was gruesome. Definitely not something for general TV. He is seemingly a true, upstanding person as evidenced by all the people who have chimed in on Twitter.
The model spread only 3-4 days away from possible effects is pretty substantial. One large difference is that the Icon and EC both allow the vort to sit idle for a day to the south of the area while it rains itself out....CMC charges ahead and pushes the high out of the way.
Well, the GFS folded to the EC for this weekend....no rain for the LSV. But the EC folded to the CMC and now takes the SLP up into the Piedmont/Apps region though not nearly as wet as the CMC for thr weekend. The CMC is a flooder.