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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Yea, the drought maps are less spectacular than they probably should be. I believe the ground water tables are holding better than expected which is lessening the large-scale effects and skewing the ratings to something less than would normally happen with this little rain and above ground stream levels with this many reds and oranges.
  2. The Euro is back to keeping two sperate pieces of energy, something it showed a few runs ago, with the whole thing being a nothing event rainwise for most of the East coast as to Saturday. A little rain in Eastern NC and far SE DelMarVa.
  3. And the second driest year at this date just across the MD Line at HGR.
  4. This reminds me of a post I once saw when searching for something. It addresses Allison Hill and H-Burg Crime in general. A LOOOONG time ago I used to help out at the Bethesda Mission. https://theburgnews.com/news/5-myths-harrisburg-midtown-allison-hillits-debunking-time
  5. If you are serious that was why I asked because it seemed to be conveniently left out during football season.
  6. 12Z GFS looks a lot like the WPC map as to precip distribution. Both the Icon and GFS block the low near our latitude and send to close to due east. The CMC holds it's guns for the most part and sends the SLP up into central NY. The CMC is showing no respect for the dome of HP in Canada and almost seems to find a channel for the low to slip behind it.
  7. Check out the shield/deform band on the 12Z Icon. Better than anything we got last winter from my memory.
  8. Kudos to them for having a nice middle ground with the different solutions on table. I had initially commented that their map was a little light for the LSV but now with some ensemble members showing zip (and the GFS op) I agree with Mitchnick that it is good for this range. Meso extended runs come into range in the next couple hours.
  9. Yea, it was gruesome. Definitely not something for general TV. He is seemingly a true, upstanding person as evidenced by all the people who have chimed in on Twitter.
  10. @ItstrainingtimeMay be career over. The replay is Joe Theisman bad. Congrats on the win in this ugly one.
  11. The model spread only 3-4 days away from possible effects is pretty substantial. One large difference is that the Icon and EC both allow the vort to sit idle for a day to the south of the area while it rains itself out....CMC charges ahead and pushes the high out of the way.
  12. Well, the GFS folded to the EC for this weekend....no rain for the LSV. But the EC folded to the CMC and now takes the SLP up into the Piedmont/Apps region though not nearly as wet as the CMC for thr weekend. The CMC is a flooder.
  13. This game is quickly getting lost as to it being interesting. Brown's and Steelers football.
  14. Making PSU proud. Lots of bad play calling the last 10 min in Steeltown. Little worried that Pickett may not be the answer.
  15. 18Z GFS is a shell of its former self and another nod to the earlier Government qpf map. Storm never drops below 997mb.
  16. Agreed, just felt all 3 global should get their say today since so many here have weekend plans riding on the outcomes.
  17. EC continues to look like the Government QPF map from earlier but much less in the way of total qpf..hangs one piece of energy off the Florida coast longer than the other globals. That scenario lessens the effects in Happy Valley as shown. Basically dry without the vort crashing into the MA. In winter this run would have been a crushing blow to storm hounds. The MJS morning predict special.
  18. So, not familiar here but is there an actual parking lot for people who arrive early and then everyone else is stuck doing the Burning Man thing?
  19. This is a good warm up for winter in watching the different interactions and predicts between the globals. The displacement of the blocking high on the CMC makes for very a large variance on ground truth vs. the GFS. I have heard people comparing this to a Nor' Easter but the OP globals (CMC GFS) continue the trend toward allowing the SLP to find a weakness and get into or near the Apps.
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