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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It is already one of the best rains since last spring/winter. Not totals as much as the soaking type. Thanks! -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Oh I remembered. HaHa. I was taking the other side and saying I am cool with your side too. LOL. This rain is now settling in here to a rainy Sunday. Hard to remember the last time we had a nice, soaking rainy day. No fretting over dBZ's and your hood, no worry about under the trees....just a good soak. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I think it is bad for the grass to cut too far below 2.5" so those of us struggling to grow a yard usually let it roll a bit higher. I appreciate what you other guys do though. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Speaking of that, I dropped in #12 last though I only did about 1/2 the yard. The only mows going forward will be leaf chopping which I do not count. Only 12 mows over 6 months of mowing season. Kind of crazy. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.01 in the books. Ha. Rain started about 20 min ago. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Wow. Made me go to Wunderground. Down to 64 here now as the rain is on approach. Have an inversion event here with the higher areas being much warmer. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Radar looks great and both HRRR and 3K have it raining on and off for about 20 hours from mid-morning through early AM tomorrow. A true soaker if it plays out. 1/2-1" totals on both for many areas of southern PA. A balmy 66 this AM. On the surprise factor scale, this would be like getting a 4-8" snowstorm 3 days after the forecast said today would be sunny and 60. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Meso wise, the 12Z HRRR and 6Z Nam3K both have a better surface reflection over PA, so the qpf is really amped up vs. some previous progs that were mostly showing us getting the northern end of the southern vort. Nothing has fallen yet but the Rgem is looking for a nice pat on the back if that happens as it was on the case 2 days ago. Both are also starting rain by mid-morning now for the Western and Central PA areas. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A few days ago we were staring at a week plus of dry so definitely encouraging as of this AM. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Might see flood watches North of us if anything like that plays out. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It started about Tuesday here...if you take a drive over to Walmart in R-Ville you will see them. No where near peak yet but by Sept 25ish it appears it will be quite orange/red. My yard is partially covered now in Maple Leaves. It very well could be "pushed on" by dry conditions. I am not overly in the know with the whys on foliage. I think I mentioned before but I think the globals as a whole have been not good with qpf this summer. Especially down our way. I have had 2-3 flood watches now with just a T or nothing to show. Understand convection is a crap shoot but the globals broad brushed way too much qpf several times. Had you noticed the same? -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Let's see if it can redeem for us down here. 1/2" of rain would set up my yard to go into its winter slumber with a good drink. Even Short Pump gets in on the action. Leaves are starting to fall fast here. Next two-three weeks will be peak this year. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
46 for the low again this Am. Was out early and it was chilly with a breeze in the 5-10 range. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
There was one last night as well :-) -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
There is the positive comment you were looking for. LOL. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My shingles were so old, the fiberglass was coming out in many places which basically left me no shot of getting insurance to pay even if I had damage. The guess was 25-30 years old. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My neighbor had amish do his roof and he had to go pick them up and take them home. LOL. Slate is cool. I like the way it looks. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yea, not sure any asphalt shingles are 50 year regardless of what they say....they do make metal shingles but again those would be 40-50K for a house like mine. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
For those following Roof talk, I also found out that even if you are missing shingles, your roof has to be "young enough" to be covered under many insurance policies. So, if you have the 3-tab type roof which is not put in much anymore, anything 15 and over and many insurances will deny the claim or pro-rate. 20 years and older for arch shingles. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Curious if you do get a price. I did some cursory reviewing for a heat pump myself and it looked really expensive, so I moved on for now. You will also need to make sure it is the climate we currently have for summer, which is Southern VA according to many, vs. summers of past. Ha. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Every 12Z I saw is quite wet Sunday except....the GFS. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I saved a ton last year being 3/4 oil (new part of the house is electric). I only paid about $1000 for the entire winter...electric and oil. The temps being so moderate were part of that. Some years oil kills me. I wish gas was available. We are not forced air, we have water heated baseboard via the oil element heating the water. On the roofs, I was just talking to the roof and he said about 80% of roofs being done right now are insurance based because just missing a few shingles will sometimes get you a new roof. I was not so lucky. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I am getting a new roof, and it should look nice. That is a plus. LOL. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What is the use, wind is gonna blow it down within days either way. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Bubbler86 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That is the issue with people like me, if we lose power and go back to olden times, I am in trouble. No one will want my skill set anymore :-). You have the real skills.