Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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He must have been viewing the MA LR discussion yesterday.
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Snowing again right now....streamer made it all the way down here.
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One of the met's in the MA thread estimated the snow was 3:1. If so, the Kuch maps were too high.
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That was a hail mary that did not work out. ha. Not cancelling anything. Seriously, the lack of cold air is a real hinderance to having any chance of identifying threats very far out. The GFS has a low take a great track in 7 days and it is rain everywhere except far North New England. Track will be different in a few hours but not sure there will be any more cold air to work with. No obvious frying pan periods either...just a bit AN.
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Ha, we literally posted at the same time.
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@Chris78 how much did you get? About 2.5" more just up from us. Elevation ...Washington County... Sabillasville 2 NNW 3.5 629 AM 12/11 CoCoRaHS
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That is a very cool pic, thanks!
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So long, farewell, auf Wiedersehen, adieuAdieu, adieu, to yieu and yieu and yieu One thing I am seeing in reports is that the models showing a bonus area in N Central MD got their wish. PSU got 4" and saw another report of over 3".
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34 and nice paste coasting here. About 1" on some hard wood surfaces. A bit higher in grass but not going to count that. No street accums.
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34 and mixed precip.
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Saw mention on the MA thread and can confirm that the web cams at Ski Liberty (Fairfield) are showing snow at the base of the main slope. Still a lot of rain mixed in here.
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This line is well past me now so maybe can surmise it was seeing snow or sleet above but still not cold enough just above the surface for a full change. SPC Meso 850 line is very close to me but 925 is not.
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Down to 36 now. I just looked again and it is still mostly rain.
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815ish. It is still mostly rain but I have a snow light so can see larger flakes going by. Very much based on intensity I am sure.
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Some mangled flakes mixing in here now. 38 degrees.
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The isobars have really elongated to our east with two areas of frontogenesis now...one where we saw it before off the NC coast and one slightly below this circle and dry slot so the slp is probably in this general area.
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It did close. Thinking about it, maybe that was before you moved up here so that makes more sense. I bought some stuff from their auction. Not a fan of their location though as to pass by traffic. So many coming east turn at the circle in New Oxford and skip cross keys.
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I thought you were going to saw you are retired and do not want to spend the cash on the premium site! Ps, never been to cross keys diner? How? Lol
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Do you have a sub to one of the model sites? Will be helpful if you do :-). Blizz's work gets in the way during the day.
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The radar is blossoming nicely in central VA. May be a bit too far east for me but someone is going to get a lot of precip.
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This was the thought of my post (someone did say past beginning of Jan) in chuckling that there was panic of the pattern not changing at Christmas. I disagree with the panic just based on everyone's current penchant to feel cautious when times are good but easily turning negative when things start can kicking. With that said, recently there were posts (EPS I think) showing a sweet pattern Christmas week and starting to feel we are losing hope on that.
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Down to 45 here as the temps continue to march down. 14 degree drop in 3-4 hours.
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Defintely can be thunderstorms which is why I threw some question in but I enjoy watching for busts (good or bad.). There is not a lot forcing in other areas as of yet though. As you know said thunderstorms can also limit blossoming to the west. The cold at the surface is still my worry. I truly think accum snow is going to be whomever gets under a band that overcomes the surface.
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Looking at this map, one would think the trailing slp is developing a bit father east than some meso's showed. This can sometimes be off from actual sw positions though.
