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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. With a low in the mid-west that seems to be our fate either way. No one I saw posted the Icon, can you blame them after how it handled this system, but it snowed for quite some time at 18Z. Dawn to dusk in the LSV.
  2. Your second paragraph is what we saw several times over the last few years....the low went far enough west to have that first wave bypass us down south due to the angle of attack/width of the WAA band.
  3. We are over half inch of rain and may get close to 3/4. It is pouring.
  4. Something else out west today. A potential forum divider next week!
  5. Always like to hear plowable! Light snow showing in the radar to our south and west. 38/33 here now.
  6. NYC will probably have the same so you doomed even if at your second home :-)
  7. The points about no cold air being around are really spot on. Just no room for error....still fun to try and find a needle in the haystack (in a realistic way) sometimes vs. just giving up.
  8. The GFS has a nice 1" or so tack on at the end for the LSV. Right at rush hour tomrorow!
  9. 32 here....the radar estimated precip is a bit snowier in southern VA than the HRRR or 3K had it. Speaking strictly for myself, being at 32 already with a DP of 28, I am still not thinking we get much to accumulate in my area even if it does fall as snow. The HRRR has quite a bit more mixed in its panels than it did last evening. The precip coming in right after the temps max out is not great timing. HRRR has most in the LSV getting into the 40's.
  10. They are lined up like a Choo Choo train. I personally am not feeling tomorrow to be much, but the rest are cautiously exciting and it's the best 4-5 prospective storm lineup in a while IMO (on the maligned GFS.)
  11. 3K has some ending snow. Not much to start on it or HRRR unfortunately.
  12. The CMC was also showing big snow whether high ended Adv or low end WSW. It was the first one I saw actually....there was this map which was the last of the big snow maps where the back down start. The ICON had big snows south of Harrisburg as well.
  13. It is certainly a possibility. We were seeing WSW levels snows for parts of the LASV tomorrow as recently as 2-3 days ago...and now? Anyway, the UK upped accums a bit in the Northern LSV for the Wednesday Chruch Train/Halfway to Eagles and Cowboys showdown storm.
  14. Very astute observation but that is on 30 and I am off 16. Lol. Impressive though. We turn at the bar to go to Cowans gap.
  15. Late nooners. 33 on top of mountain between mercersburg and mcconnellburg
  16. Interesting town names...Desert Center, Carefree, El Centro, Dateland
  17. 34 here this AM. Mesos's are mostly very close in their snow depiction for Sunday. Rgem is probably the most generous for the LSV with 1/2 -1" Northern LSV. HRRR and 3K mostly rain. In the LSV, Kuch is 30-40% less than 10-1 indicating just how closes it is to be plain rain regardless of progs. A downer for sure....this looked so better a few days ago. I bet many would take this UK map from the Chruch Train storm mid-week.
  18. I was not trying to pick on you but felt like you were being hard on the Albedoman.
  19. MDT has reached 80 every April since 2010 except 2 years and one of those 2 they reached 79 twice in the month.
  20. Hard to remember a summer in the last 5 where the LSV has not had at least D0 or D1. Fortunately, not severe recently. Since July, MDT has been below norms qpf wise 5 out of 6 months (all except Dec) and they are below in Jan right now though I suspect they may catch up in the next week. They finished the second half of 2022 at a 4.5" deficit. That was coming off a great Spring so not a big deal, but it feels like it has rained a lot lately and really has not.
  21. I am right there with you on this. A dry April to June will eliminate any overabundance of rain/snow being received now. They probably have specific criteria for the watch that was no longer met but it would not take long in early summer to crank it back up.
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