All bets on my somewhat negative post-frontal take are off the boards if the slp developed like the Euro suggests but I feel like we talk about this every year and the same trend that pulls precip in faster than modeled, limits the chances for areas East of the mountains when the low is going near the LSV longitude as the front is passing. If the low was developing earlier in the Southeast I would feel differently. That is some serious poundage in the blue near the changeover.