Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Not too shabby for East LSV.
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The MA thread seems quite happy with the south trend. Anyone have the NBM to post?
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Mostly cloudy and 30 at noon. First time out of the 20's in several days.
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Well, the 3K was way below on snow totals for the LSV which is what I was referring to. Nam 12 was about 1" below the higher totals to our East. Nam 12 was surely acceptable but I am a bit surprised most runs after the Nam were 1-3.
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The HRRR was by far the high point of 12Z so far.
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GFS transfers to the SE Coast quite early and the resulting SLP remains fairly week as it traverses Northeast fairly far off shore....snow map below but a note of caution with this one is that it requires the coastal influence to get these levels in SC and East PA. Technically there is no snow in those areas when the lowest level of pressure moves offshore. Would probably be some snow with the 500 pass but probably not this much if the coastal scoots faster. Miller B fun.
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About time to roll out some Ensemble snow maps! :-)
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Icon a quick mover....1-3" on Pivotal for almost all of Eastern PA.
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3K is focusing the higher totals south of the M/D line.
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Models not saying it gets there but near 30. That seems too warm for 20-1 ratios. Great snowmaking above though with 850's very cold.
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Yep, it is strange but the deep blues were suggestive of more.....about 1" less than the HRRR where the HRRR showed higher areas in the LSV. Snow all the way down to shortpump. Generally, 2-4" for most of S Central PA.
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Yea, I was speaking how it will make them excited as well. QPF surprisingly low though. Only .2 through 30. Radar looked better.
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THE HRR which was the crowd pleasure so far is maybe 12 or 13-1. .4" qpf and under 5" of snow for Harrisburg. Too warm for 20-1 IMO.
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NAM is very Pro MA. Going to make them happy.
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It is fairly exciting to see the meso's approving each run even if I personally may be a bit too far west.
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@Chris78 the HRRR was close to giving us the best snows....if it has delayed elongating/transfer another hour or two we get near 4" I think. As it is we do get dry slotted compared to those east of us.
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3-5" for the central and Southern LSV. Close or under 3" for some of the North LSV and MSV as well as just to the West of the LSV.
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A pretty nice run IMO...still snowing in the Eastern LSV at 22Z. Going to be a crowd pleaser for the LSV with the snow maps.
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Snow dissipating over Western PA at 2PM but definitely some coastal influence for Eastern PA as snow picks up the pace a bit.
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Low dissipates/elongates/transfers around 16Z after sitting over WV for 6-7 hours. Still light snow in PA. 1006 forming off the NJ coast. Still a 500H representation back in N VA.
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Low stays almost stationary the next 2-3 hours as most of PA continues with light snow. Radar rep not great though and some holes in PA.
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Vort gains latitude the next 2 hours and in WV as most of PA snowing by 8Z. A weakling at 1007 so will not resist transferring.
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Vort in SE VA at 6Z tomorrow AM on the HRRR. Some light snow in far South Central and SW PA
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I have never been there but often see cars lined up looking for parking when I go by....circling like sharks. Close to noon of course.
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They could not find parking and ended up at Olive Garden.
