Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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GFS and Icon did not have enough cold air to work with next weekend despite the low cutting across S VA on the GFS.
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This pic needs to come out at least once this year.
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Bingo.
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I think rumors of Southern PA being the Alps, from people in the MA, sometimes overstate our snow chances up here. In certain situations, we do better but they do better in other situations. The whole 'Mount PSU' thing also overstates it. I would expect us to get more than BWI 3 out of 4 years but not much more 2 of those 3.
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Yep, some of the MA is fretting.
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MA dreams....ratios keep them from going for 10".
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Yep, except for Nam. And I keep seeing people talking about the M/D line being the hot spot. A lot of models it is not. We went from Maxima to Altima. Would CTP really downgrade you with that GFS jack over your house?
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We will see which camp is more accurate on this as more models are not showing any of that intense forcing over us and keep accums 1-2" over me.
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Rgem is a broom affair down here.
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Icon is 2-4 for most of southern PA outside the Laurels. Also ironic, it is one of the lower outputs now after leading the way on this systems potential. A few spots in the NE LSV slightly over 4 on pivotal with two lollipops of 5 I saw.
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Ironically Sabillasville is in Frederick, Cascade is not. The line is right there.
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Yea I could not tell if it is cascade or Sabillas so just picked one. They both do great. I can be in Sabillas in less than 10 min but I usually go to Penmar/up toward high rock if I want to see how the snow rich people live.
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He is farther East but not 100% sure exact spot.
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1100-1200
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That 9.7 near Sabillasville, MD is always a sweet spot area.
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Yea, that would overcome us missing the first 1" or so to our north. If this forcing is reality I would go with 6-8" for our area.
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A nice clap to the Icon for being the first, in my memory at least, to predict we would be here looking at 3-6" tonight. Looks like a large are of 4-6 on the Nam.
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@mahantango#1 just posted that he did.
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For once, it is not was bad here. High gust from neighbors very professional equipment was 33.
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Definitely a risk for us if that first area dumps 1-2" to our north before we get in the game.
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Are we back to Canderson's Hershey Hotel adventure again?
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HRRR is in and out fast. Snow over by 4AM for most of the LSV and just some like CCB like snow to the north at this point. Accums done for the most part. Lower near MD due to that gap delaying start of the snow.
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HRRR looks similar through 18. A nice beat down for southern PA around midnight. Low in South Central VA at that point.
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Probably not smoothed over like that. But lollipops are definitely in play you would think. Models have to determine where, if anywhere, that gap sets up tonight as that will be a low zone.
