Bubbler86

All true just wish it was colder. I miss the snow then several days staying in the 20's events. Much of this snow is going to melt off today (down here) though the colder mesos are forecasting a throw another log on the fire mid-teens lows tomorrow AM.

Some in the ABE "area" have scored 2-3 feet in a week.

There is a chance someone sees more snow from a streamer than the main event. Some 2" totals on Meso's.

Quite a few LES/Streamers today....even for some of the Southers.

Borrowed this from the MA. Hard to tell the difference between 3-4 and 4-6 but most of the deeper blues are 3-4 I believe.

I say this in all seriousness since we sometimes have passive aggressive battles, I feel bad that MDT only got about 1" (have not seen officially just looking at depth and total qpf) as that is going to be the official record for this storm despite you getting 6 plus. A terribly modeled event IMO.

The PSMU storm is suffering from lack of an available cold air source right now. GFS is post frontal snows and EC is sad to look at.

Wxrisk has an IP based firewall so they cannot share creds!

MDT only getting around 1" with a WSW is going to go down into the HOF as one of the worst ever. HGR as well with a 5-8" forecast. Again, not blaming the forecast. Models kept ramping this up even as close as 18 hours ago. 12Z Yesterday the failure was starting to show but 18Z last night was when reality started to kick in though had to wait for verification to see it. North of Harrisburg did well.

Wow, incredible.

MDT only had .1 and with a low of 32. The yearly snow total not going to go up much.

The temp here had fallen to 28 during the height of the snow yet no driveway or road stickage despite middle of the night. The rumor of warm roads is real and indeed all comes down to rates. I have had close to 6 total as well but the fast melting does tame the total experience. With almost 2" of Qpf from the last storm, what could have been sticks in my mind.

If your roads are just wet, it is the ultimate bust. You always cave.

Haha, a double meaning post? if so, nice!

Eyeballing about 2" but nothing concrete or road has snow on it. Going to go down (here) as one of the worst WSW events ever. Not the NWS's fault. Modeling pulled the rug. Light snow and 30. Two WSW's in a week and the combined snow from both events is less than 6" @Chris78 any better there? @WaynesboroWX The Icon Storm. PD3: Pretty Damn Depressing X3. Congrats to Blizz. Did not see any other posts of verifying WSW yet except to the East of this Forum. Maybe Accuchris did. Or the Pillow area.

There was a meso's discussion posted on the MA thread suggesting a longer period of full saturation for some areas at the start. Edit-now it is posted here. Lol

Yea. Just a little angst from some of us that have seen that banding push north on modeling since this am. I personally still think a lot of the lsv sees 2-5". The hrrr seems too dry for the radar presentation as is. I feel warning criteria may not be met by a lot outside those prospective bands.

It was 38 when the light rain started here...rain did its deed and got us to snow but no accums at 34 as of yet.

@Chris78 the fact that it has been raining and now snowing here for over an hour, and you just stated flurries, really points to some dry air and the sharp cut off to that first waa like shield that came through. It is still 34 here.

On a majority of guidance, there has been a North trend the last 6-12 hours pushing the better forcing and banding from the southern areas of the LSV up to Harrisburg and above. That has been a big topic of discussion. Agreed, the models drying out even further the last 3-4 hours should not change forecasts this late. Let the chips fall as they may.

You were throwing models out left and right while it was snowing last event. Lol

At this point I would gladly take 2".

Fwiw, gfs bucking the trend and still has two maxima's over Mitch and blizz. Minima in between.

This is incredible.....6 hours between two RRFS maps. Bad look regardless of what happens. I do not need to be told it is nowcasting time, I know that....but cutting totals down 300-400% in the Northern LSV is terrible performing.

Light rain has commenced here. 38/22. I am sure it will change to snow as the column cools or precip rates increase.