Bubbler86

Wxrisk has an IP based firewall so they cannot share creds!

MDT only getting around 1" with a WSW is going to go down into the HOF as one of the worst ever. HGR as well with a 5-8" forecast. Again, not blaming the forecast. Models kept ramping this up even as close as 18 hours ago. 12Z Yesterday the failure was starting to show but 18Z last night was when reality started to kick in though had to wait for verification to see it. North of Harrisburg did well.

Wow, incredible.

MDT only had .1 and with a low of 32. The yearly snow total not going to go up much.

The temp here had fallen to 28 during the height of the snow yet no driveway or road stickage despite middle of the night. The rumor of warm roads is real and indeed all comes down to rates. I have had close to 6 total as well but the fast melting does tame the total experience. With almost 2" of Qpf from the last storm, what could have been sticks in my mind.

If your roads are just wet, it is the ultimate bust. You always cave.

Haha, a double meaning post? if so, nice!

Eyeballing about 2" but nothing concrete or road has snow on it. Going to go down (here) as one of the worst WSW events ever. Not the NWS's fault. Modeling pulled the rug. Light snow and 30. Two WSW's in a week and the combined snow from both events is less than 6" @Chris78 any better there? @WaynesboroWX The Icon Storm. PD3: Pretty Damn Depressing X3. Congrats to Blizz. Did not see any other posts of verifying WSW yet except to the East of this Forum. Maybe Accuchris did. Or the Pillow area.

There was a meso's discussion posted on the MA thread suggesting a longer period of full saturation for some areas at the start. Edit-now it is posted here. Lol

Yea. Just a little angst from some of us that have seen that banding push north on modeling since this am. I personally still think a lot of the lsv sees 2-5". The hrrr seems too dry for the radar presentation as is. I feel warning criteria may not be met by a lot outside those prospective bands.

It was 38 when the light rain started here...rain did its deed and got us to snow but no accums at 34 as of yet.

@Chris78 the fact that it has been raining and now snowing here for over an hour, and you just stated flurries, really points to some dry air and the sharp cut off to that first waa like shield that came through. It is still 34 here.

On a majority of guidance, there has been a North trend the last 6-12 hours pushing the better forcing and banding from the southern areas of the LSV up to Harrisburg and above. That has been a big topic of discussion. Agreed, the models drying out even further the last 3-4 hours should not change forecasts this late. Let the chips fall as they may.

You were throwing models out left and right while it was snowing last event. Lol

At this point I would gladly take 2".

Fwiw, gfs bucking the trend and still has two maxima's over Mitch and blizz. Minima in between.

This is incredible.....6 hours between two RRFS maps. Bad look regardless of what happens. I do not need to be told it is nowcasting time, I know that....but cutting totals down 300-400% in the Northern LSV is terrible performing.

Light rain has commenced here. 38/22. I am sure it will change to snow as the column cools or precip rates increase.

Their AFD suggest everyone in the south gets 6+". Feel bad for them if it does not happen as the models are pulling the rug though many hinted it 12 hours ago. Nothing is over yet though. Quick hitting banded snow expected over south central PA this evening and overnight aided by increasing FGEN to the north of sfc low sliding eastward across the southern Mid-Atlantic. Energetic lift into favorable DGZ and increasing SLRs should promote a about a 6 hour period of 1+ in/hr rates across the southern zones between roughly 03-09Z. Snow character should lean drier (fluffy) vs. the early week storm. Snow associated with the main sfc low should exit the area to the east by ~12Z.

Snow reported in Norristown just West of Philly. Crazy.

Several meso's and even the icon have been showing that over the last few runs.

Broom time

@WaynesboroWX what part of town do you live in? I am almost in MD off Harbaugh Church Rd.

Man, I was about to say this was March '93 all over again until you doused my burn.

Hello, yes. We were in the bullseye until recently, but it may be that Nissan screwed us. LOL