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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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It is more than hit or miss. On this terrain map, note the area where there is no secondary mountain range coming off the true central PA ranges. Quite often cells form out of seemingly nowhere and move in a generally direction through the gap. This is really just convection situations that I have seen it but it happens a lot every summer. When the cells get to the river, they will often pivot a bit and run down the river in a more SE direction instead of due East.
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I seem to be at a loss for this each summer. My only advice is to say you will not see rain for weeks as that seems to draw in the qpf to you.
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The Heat Wave is over for a good chunk of the state. Shooting for 3 days that it does not break 80 in my area (next week.)
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Bears. The huge difference in goaltenders is the difference right now. Chris Driedger is weak sauce.
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Some of the same areas with nearly 3" this week are tacking on right now. Almost 11PM and still 86.
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There is a weak wave moving south of the state line and it is setting off some cells.
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Whole mess of rain in N WV right now. Not sure it survives but seems angled toward York Co.
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Yep, that is the issue with the model qpf's. More about areas that might get lucky vs. An area wide rain.
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Hgr has .49. But as we have talked about .5 per week is world's better than 10" then nothing for 3 weeks.
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The Capitol beltway gets 5-10 of these per summer That is how you end up with 10 more inches of precip than areas down here. Some areas near the Cumberland/Franklin line have almost 3" in the last 5 days.
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You spanked all the government and model Qpf maps.
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Tenp in Satan's hole was 113 today.
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But no 100 means fail. Dubois records > MDT.
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An area 15 miles to the north of me has had 2" of rain in the last 5-6 days which was what I was referring to. They cannot predict stuff like that.
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Their issue is that during the summer they will be wrong, for the NE, almost every time because they smooth out their maps. Convection is not smooth. Some areas of the LSV have over 2" on the last 5-6 days now.
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ITT's gig is to post the woefully inadequate WPC long range QPF maps. Posting those is like a Luka to Lively lob for rain as to poster.
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Mount Wolf getting mounted by rain.
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Have to wait and see. 99 or 100.
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MDT down to 78.
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Does that mean your next rain is in 45 days or Aug 6th give or take? Go for the gusto and say Labor day!
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MDT has 99 on their 5 min readings so they may have made 100, we shall see.
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How are you at playing a flute? Are you afraid of snakes? 105? My outside non digital therm says 117 right now as the sun is doing its deed!
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MDT got 1.4" on June 5th. Did you miss all of that?
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Heard chatter that police are being called to save people in flooded cars in Harrisburg.
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It is a weekly summer (if not more often) tradition. You call no rain, and it comes in droves right on your doorstep. Do you also charm cobras out of pots?
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