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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. May go the entire month of February with a - AO. Meanwhile, NW and Western Canada will load with a deepening arctic air mass and it appears that makes it way East in time behind a cutter and then a wave may travel afterwards ushering in the arctic air. When you have as weak vortex, such as we have currently, you can go to this look.
  2. Way out there, but one way the pattern evolves. Cold may not be an issue in this time frame. Indices would suggest a high impact winter storm might be possible .
  3. Continued blocking in February looking more and more likely, combined with an increasing probability of help form the Pac side , and the ongoing the evolution from the SSWE and colder source regions.
  4. Another interesting look, including the Atlantic side.
  5. Day After Tomorrow This has overall support moving forward. Maybe a wave before this arctic blast and a large storm afterwards, during a relax period. . Initial moisture may be an issue, but it looks like opportunities will be there as mentioned by @MillvilleWx
  6. Growing evidence of real cold into Canada as Feb advances, while the - NAO recycles, along with hopefully some Pac improvement. Vortex remains weak.
  7. Way, way out there Rated on a complexity scale 9 out of 10 . I am being generous.
  8. Interesting, so basically could have been worse. Also may shed a bit of light on Feb and March
  9. It has weakened and looks to remain so. This next attempt may simply help achieve another round of -AO and hopefully a - NAM state extension or another cycle of it during the month of February.
  10. Hmmm. Pac extension , cyclonic wave breaking, develop Aleutian High and potentially another strat hit.
  11. Yes, Feb. may not be a shutout. Regarding March, I am intrigued if we can maintain the - NAO going into March when the wavelengths shorten. Who knows maybe the coldest to average temps could sneak into that time period. Being a shoulder month with a weaker vortex and another Pac retraction. Here is mid Feb
  12. @psuhoffman Even going into early Feb , not bad. You said it would be decent until the retrogression gets us to around the 3 rd. Here we are at the 5 th,
  13. Looking further into Feb. hopefully the retraction delivers by early Feb, then we may go the other way with a Pac extension.
  14. I would think a few days after this could be the event of the - AO cycle
  15. If I got 15 inches of snow the next 15 days I be talking the next ice age.
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