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Ji

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Everything posted by Ji

  1. We are gettting cold shots….we just need moisture and some blocking to sustain the cold some: I think we are 2 double digit storms
  2. I saw the actually article. It talks about blizzards in dc and then he posts this lazy map
  3. Euro looks horrible to start December but I am liking this configuration for Thanksgiving
  4. i dont think its possible to have a moderate Nino with no jet...but we seem to do well at doing the impossible lately
  5. When are we going to start seeing precip lol?
  6. i wouldnt say warm december. If you look at the individual members of the Cansips...there will probably be periods of cold and with way above normal precip forecasted for Dec--we could get lucky. Ive seen worse December forecasts lol
  7. this is amazing. Its like getting a graduate level class online!
  8. thats all i had at the time...pulled it from some weenie on twitter
  9. what pisses me off is between Dec 26 and Jan 2nd...when i am not working and have more time for models.....its been a blowtorch the past several years. Its the worst feeling
  10. Well those warm Christmas are usually a result of the fact that the cold December pattern has to break at some point. Remember when it snowed every December 5th?
  11. i go by moderate(1.0-1.5) Strong 1.5 to 2.0 and Super (2.0-2.5) so to me 82-83, 1997-98, 2015-2016 were super ninos. 2 of those had a blizzard. So i dont think we will have a super Nino so i probably wouldnt use those years
  12. what if you just do moderate. 1997/2015 were like super ninos
  13. this might win me the weenie of the year but if you just looked at ONI--the best match i found for where we are now and where we are headed potentially is 57-58 lol https://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm
  14. the earlier the storm is in the window...the less chance we have for snow. Todays Euro shows another Miller B--when the GFS was showing snow...it was at the end of this Nov 8-11 window ...not at the begining
  15. You can do better than that lol. Look at 6z gfs Nov 1987 redux
  16. It moved north. Midseason form
  17. the ensembles have zero support for a significant snowstorm or even a rainstorm lol
  18. lol euro with a snowstorm for Western MD and parts of PA next week
  19. Even western Loudoun has little color
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