Ji
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Everything posted by Ji
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i dont think its possible to have a moderate Nino with no jet...but we seem to do well at doing the impossible lately
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When are we going to start seeing precip lol?
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i wouldnt say warm december. If you look at the individual members of the Cansips...there will probably be periods of cold and with way above normal precip forecasted for Dec--we could get lucky. Ive seen worse December forecasts lol
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this is amazing. Its like getting a graduate level class online!
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thats all i had at the time...pulled it from some weenie on twitter
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what pisses me off is between Dec 26 and Jan 2nd...when i am not working and have more time for models.....its been a blowtorch the past several years. Its the worst feeling
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Well those warm Christmas are usually a result of the fact that the cold December pattern has to break at some point. Remember when it snowed every December 5th?
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i go by moderate(1.0-1.5) Strong 1.5 to 2.0 and Super (2.0-2.5) so to me 82-83, 1997-98, 2015-2016 were super ninos. 2 of those had a blizzard. So i dont think we will have a super Nino so i probably wouldnt use those years
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what if you just do moderate. 1997/2015 were like super ninos
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this might win me the weenie of the year but if you just looked at ONI--the best match i found for where we are now and where we are headed potentially is 57-58 lol https://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm
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come on bro. Winter>kids
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the earlier the storm is in the window...the less chance we have for snow. Todays Euro shows another Miller B--when the GFS was showing snow...it was at the end of this Nov 8-11 window ...not at the begining
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You can do better than that lol. Look at 6z gfs Nov 1987 redux
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It moved north. Midseason form
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the ensembles have zero support for a significant snowstorm or even a rainstorm lol
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lol euro with a snowstorm for Western MD and parts of PA next week
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probably no
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Even western Loudoun has little color
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i dont see much difference between the euro and GFS...the bad angle of the diving SW and late redevelopment typically isnt condusive for us getting alot of precip
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Yes. I threw a fit on fb lol.
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I’m pissed. We got a period of light rain in Loudoun…maybe an hour and they closed the fields for no reason all day and my sons game got cancelled. It was completely dry after 930
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Euro weeklies look about normal for the area. Probably a bit if a warmer signal than colder but nothing really screams anything more than average
