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Ji

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Everything posted by Ji

  1. Gfs is caving. We need models not to trend towards superior euro
  2. JB is defaulted to do very well in any epic eastern winter. Sort of like the guy for the philies who hits .190 but 50 bombs...Kyle Schwarber?
  3. Jb has 5 analogs that he rotates in his playlist. 57-58 65-66 95-96 0203 09-10 Then he analogs the 1993 superstorm once a year
  4. Encouraging tweet https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1745617893574791311?s=46&t=C005pd5HNg3Y-KhVU7n3VA
  5. My gut feeling is different I’m looking at winters after moderate ninos 95-96 04-05 2010-11 87-88 66-67
  6. If the gfs caves it’s tonight. It’s pretty reliable within a certain time frame and if we can get last 00z and 12z tomorrow we’re good
  7. We don’t want a flush hit for the coast. That screws us
  8. No way gfs loses this. It’s not a great model but its usually reliable at 102 hours
  9. just go with the ones that give you the least snow. They are the most reliable
  10. not me. This is one of those events where when we need a North shift...it will shift even more south
  11. models are really great with longwave patterns and whether its going to be cold or not and if there is a general threat or not...but we are probably years away from being able to model a storm properly past 5 days
  12. whatever thing it takes not to get snow....happens. Un canny DT says no to dr no though
  13. @psuhoffmani hope we dont do this 8-0 thing again instead of 8-3
  14. the euro was the only model showing something a few days ago. Now its the only model showing nothing. How is the GFS/GGEM/ICON/UKMET showing something and the euro comes out with this
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