Here’s what I’m thinking:
covid thread gets shut down
very limited covid related discussion allowed in banter, specifically things like questions about testing, reopening, logistics. No discussion about policy, case counts, government response, etc.
I think at this point, the testing and tracing capacity is really the remaining hope to control things nationally. I hope that places that have partially opened up will at least evaluate where things stand. But probably will be early or mid June before there’s any noticeable trend. Seems the country is just going to accept 1-3K deaths per day. Got to keep increasing testing capacity.
I was wondering about that. The thunder seemed to really roll and shake. Kept me awake until after midnight. I figured either positive strike or maybe an atmospheric duct that kept the sound going and traveling far. Ended up with over 0.5".
Someone posted the thread yesterday, but there are measures showing that the stay at home orders have worked. R has gotten down to ~1 or a bit below it. That suggests if we kept at this indefinitely, we would eliminate transmission. But it would be very slow. Probably a R around 1 is fairly sustainable in terms of hospital capacity. To reduce R below one probably means much higher testing rates and contact tracing followed by quarantines.
Tom tasselmeyer, local Baltimore tv met, said this past week was the first time with 7 days below normal in a row at BWI since March 2019. Any guesses on how many 7+ day streaks of above normal since then?
There’s getting to be quarantine fatigue. I know my family is feeling it and I think the crowd reports from parks is confirming it. NYTimes had an article about it this week as tracked by cell phone data. Not sure what the answer is, but I think people are going to test limits and push things the longer we go. Especially as weather gets nice.