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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    lol GFS is just so scattershot for all of next week.
  2. WxUSAF
    That was my last semester at PSU as well! Think we ended up with like 20"?
  3. WxUSAF
    He sniffs something, that’s for sure.
  4. WxUSAF
    That’s a tough angle for a phase at the end of the euro. I’d guess it would miss the phase past 240 if I had to guess. Or maybe phase well OTS. Still a pretty nice setup. Busy times ahead hopefully.
  5. WxUSAF
    Wrong thread for the D9-10 threat
  6. WxUSAF
    Pivotal shows dusting for many. Interesting. Fingers crossed.
  7. WxUSAF
    Euro pants tent. Central MD bullseye. Lock that ish UP!
  8. WxUSAF
    D9 event looks decent on GEFS. Good banana high and nice SLP track although it doesn’t seem to turn the corner up the coast, although closer to that than previous runs.
  9. WxUSAF
    GEFS slp track is north of 6z and south of 0z. But pretty wide swings so far. Definitely warmer aloft though. TPV in Canada is a bit farther north and less suppressive. The biggest change is the depth of the follow on shortwave that comes onshore early next week. It’s much deeper on the 12z run and that pumps the ridge more over us.
  10. WxUSAF
    Focus on track and 500 evolution on the ensembles. They will by nature suck for precip type in CAD situations.
  11. WxUSAF
    Wrong thread
  12. WxUSAF
    Fair to say TT and StormVista have very different views of Icon snowfall.
  13. WxUSAF
    Use this thread for discussing the 25-26th storm threat starting now.
  14. WxUSAF
    Please the other thread for the 25-26th storm threat starting with today’s 12z runs. 28-29th threat stays here.
  15. WxUSAF
    ^Hrrr has snowshowers tomorrow morning also.
  16. WxUSAF
    “Region” defined as I81 west to the edge of the LWX CFO
  17. WxUSAF
    The chickweed is once again loving this winter.
  18. WxUSAF
    So do we use the other thread starting at 12z? Only 7 days to go!
  19. WxUSAF
    I did have that heavy graupel shower 10 days ago. So it’s definitely Top 2.
  20. WxUSAF
    Wow, just actually had a little flurry
  21. WxUSAF
    If this more or less holds through the Wednesday 0z runs, then we can say it’s the best snow chance since mid December.
  22. WxUSAF
    Outside of the mid-December storm, no threat has really survived past D7 this winter. So next 24-48 hours will be illuminating on whether this doesn’t start falling off a cliff. Those other long range threats all ended up suppressed too.
  23. WxUSAF
    The good news is we can start using the other thread tomorrow to talk about this threat!
  24. WxUSAF
    Has like 3 separate waves in 3 days. Snow to rain to rain to snow to snow. I’d take that.
  25. WxUSAF
    It’s not just us, it’s the whole damn continent. The winter temperature anomalies (at least as of when I last saw them, probably like 7-10 days ago) were very Nino-ish. Warm Canada and northern US, slightly cool southern US due to an active southern storm track.
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