Seems next week has a plausible chance for a first freeze for many outside the cities. Still lots TBD. GFS backed off today with the cold air push but euro and GGEM still show it.
Spreadsheet with all the entries. Ignore the stuff on the right for now.
Doubt any of the airports see a freeze in October at this point so a lot of us will be wrong on IAD at least.
2021 First Freeze Contest.xlsx
Precip setup for early next week is one we can dream about for winter. Pressing Canadian high and ample overrunning moisture. As it is, looks quite chilly with highs 15-20F below climo.