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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. @Herb@MAWS and @Scraff, I’m at work so let me know if we can slant stick a pity 0.1-0.3”. My PWS is down to 35.0F
  2. Temp finally turned over at home as I was driving to work and dropping steadily now. But probably too little too late.
  3. My temperature has been rising the last 30 minutes. Is that a good sign for the changeover??
  4. Correlation coefficient is showing the snow line collapsing south around DC now, but I expect that means that it is snow at the height of the radar beam, but low level temps remain way too warm.
  5. This thing is sliding away from NC/VA even. I’m still hoping my nieces can get a good snow in the Raleigh area, but the trend is not their friend right now.
  6. Losing a little to surface melting plus above freezing temps initially at start means I’m fairly skeptical of these Kuchera maps showing >10:1 ratios essentially. I’d love more than 3” for this storm but I doubt it.
  7. It's close. Sort of similar to the GFS, but with a stronger southern stream low. Move that northern stream a little faster so it can drag the boundary back southward and that's a nice hit.
  8. Eh, doubt it. As much as I'm hugging King GFS and Prince NAM, the GFS has been too wet leading into storms this year a few times. I'd have to get 2.9" to beat Sunday/Monday, which I'm skeptical on. Hope I'm wrong!
  9. Next Tuesday/Wednesday is clearly the next threat window after Saturday. Been teases/hits on the guidance for a couple days already in that timeframe.
  10. GGEM has sort of an overrunning hit today at that time. Verbatim nice 3-6"/4-8" event.
  11. Pattern is still ripe AF for at least the next 2 weeks. We're not done just because Saturday looks like a fail for most of us.
  12. Eh...still a threat for parts of our subforum. I think it should stay pinned.
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