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Tyler Penland

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Everything posted by Tyler Penland

  1. Tyler Penland
    Teensy flakes fluttering here. Temp bumped up to 35.1 Temp still rising slowly. Can hear the wind up above roaring. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  2. Tyler Penland
    Where you at? Pretty calm over here in Foscoe. I live more or less in a hole though just a quarter mile off the Watauga River so we are decently protected from wind. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  3. Tyler Penland
    Temp falling pretty quick down to 34.5 no precip yet. Won't be wasting much on liquid it doesn't appear. This assumes the upper temps catch up. Mesoanalysis has 850s back west of Morristown still.
  4. Tyler Penland
    Worth noting looking back towards Paris, TN the HRRR has been nearly spot on with the temperature drop. NAM is running a little warm and the GFS and Euro even more so. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  5. Tyler Penland
    Also don't know if this got mentioned but Beech is closed the next 2 days. Last year it was too warm for Christmas, this year the opposite. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  6. Tyler Penland
    I'm fascinated that there isn't even a WWA up here. Widespread black ice at the very least seems pretty likely if not guaranteed. That plus several inches of snow along the border you'd think would prompt one. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  7. Tyler Penland
    This will be my first time seeing sub zero. I'm a bit excited about that, although I'm sure that will wear off quick. Lol Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  8. Tyler Penland
    37.8 and creeping downward here south of Boone. Weirdly calm out there. They hadn't touched the roads when I came home about 730. I think some secondaries had been done but none of the main roads yet. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  9. Tyler Penland
    I am so jealous of you guys with those Elk. I wish it was feasible to introduce them back up here but far too many people. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  10. Tyler Penland
    The almost definitely part is what concerns me. Probably overdone on temps but those kind of wind gusts aren't exactly unheard of. I believe the record is in the mid-70mph range. Even gusts of 60-65 would be problematic. Any power outages could be hard to reach with downed trees and a flash freeze. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  11. Tyler Penland
    18z HRRR has a minimum of - 14 in Boone. -19 on Beech. Max wind gust of 71MPH in Boone. They've actually shut Beech down for the next 2 days due to the conditions. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  12. Tyler Penland
    Well. That's concerning. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  13. Tyler Penland
    I wonder how the HRRR has been verifying out west. It keeps Boone below zero for over 24 hours with a low of -13 Saturday morning. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  14. Tyler Penland
    We had one for a while, didn't get back above freezing til a little before sunrise. Bypass area of Boone still had a decent glaze when I came through this morning at 9 as did a couple sections between Boone and BR. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  15. Tyler Penland
    She's a comin Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  16. Tyler Penland
    Currently sitting at 32.9/21.3 Interesting night ahead with the ZR. Hopefully the roads are cleared up by the time folks get up. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  17. Tyler Penland
    A 200 mile west shift at 5 days should almost be expected. Look what happened with the current system. This could easily NW trend itself into a decent storm. Or NW trend itself into a cutter. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  18. Tyler Penland
    Worth noting for the northern mountains at least the 3km NAM was a good improvement on snow. Basically no rain along the front just a snow squall. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  19. Tyler Penland
    The HRRR is on drugs. Has Boone to -12 at the end of its run with a -39 wind chill. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  20. Tyler Penland
    Yep pretty dry. Looks like a decent amount of moisture at 850mb behind the front. Should keep the NWFS going for a little while. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  21. Tyler Penland
    Looking at the 3km NAM a quick change to snow with the actual frontal passage appears pretty likely. I'm concerned it'll be a bit moisture starved but ratios will go from 0-100 real quick. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  22. Tyler Penland
    New minimum for Boone on the 12z GFS is -7. I'm curious to see if this verifies or not. The Euro is about 10 degrees warmer. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  23. Tyler Penland
    The CMC has been harping on this for several runs now. It's the most amped and is mostly rain except some zr/ip in the mountains.
  24. Tyler Penland
    The GFS has been trending in the right way for the past couple days. I think Met pointed out the CMC is actually beating the gfs/euro in the long range. Here's hoping. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  25. Tyler Penland
    Coldest run of the GFS for Boone yet. From 33 to 1 from 6-12z Friday and down to -1 by afternoon. Bottoms out at -3. Ive actually never seen below zero temps so that would be a first for me. Brrrrrrrrrr Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
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