GrandmasterB

Similar to Mt. Joy, I'm over 1.5" already with moderate snow continuing.  Feels like this one will overachieve at my location.

Radar looks fine to me.  Enjoy the snow everyone!

NWS considering the upgrade to a warning for southeast crew. 

No changes to the previous winter wx headlines
although some consideration was given toward warning upgrade in
the far southeast where hires models show a potential fgen band
pivoting over northern MD/DE into southern NJ. Confidence was
just not high enough to pull trigger on warning right now with
the HREF and NBM probs more bullish over areas just south of the
MD line. Reliance on higher QPF and SLRs can also be a risky
proposition, so will stay put for now and alert the dayshift on
potential need for short-lead WSW.

Nice NAM run. We take 

3-5 on my point and click. Is that new?? NWS being aggressive which is unusual. 

18Z Euro is nice. Should be a fun day tomorrow. I wonder if some of us end up with more tomorrow then we had on Tuesday.

MU final call. Still seems a little bit aggressive especially across the north

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

NAM is very Pro MA.  Going to make them happy. 

Hour 24 looks nice for us too

41 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Yes, good run Euro run again at 6z

This has to be the best Euro run yet for this event.

GFS is better. Nice trends at 0Z

NAMed! Ya love to see it.

It’s encouraging to see the 18Z Euro improve. It felt like we were slipping towards the low end of the 1-3, so to see the Euro bounce back is quite nice. Now…no better time to get NAMed then at 0Z!!

9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

18z Euro slightly drier than its 12z run.

Still widespread 2 inches in southern PA this run.

I don’t mind seeing the Euro a little south of us with the heavier stuff.

Warning!!

3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

For overnight or Friday?

Overnight as Blizz just posted

GFS just went kinda crazy. Should be an interesting Kuchera map.

13 minutes ago, Ruin said:

Radar  broken and dry south west 

This is a precip breaking out overhead deal not a watching it come in from the southwest, JFYI

Latest forecast update from CTP saying warning may be needed for the southern folks: 

HREF data run with WPC
forecast SLR between 15-20:1 shows some potential for warning
level 5-6" fluffy totals in these locations which will need to
be monitored for a short lead upgrade next shift

4 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

12z GFS Kuchera snowfall map

Thanks! I figured it would be fairly awesome…and it is.

GFS is a nice uptick. Anyone got the Kuchera clown map to share?

20:1!! I’m down for that 

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I don’t mind seeing those higher totals on the 18z GFS just over the border in MD…right where we want it….

Yes, agreed. We’ve been getting bumped up on models statewide, but it’s getting up in the 4-6” range just to our south. History says that’s a great place to be!

Nice Canadian run as well. Let’s keep it going tomorrow!

Most of the state gets 2-3” on the NAM. Small, but positive changes for this system on today’s model runs.

Still rather light totals but a definite uptick vs. the 12Z run. 18Z ICON was an increase as well.