GrandmasterB

ah, the good 'ol classic OBX to Bermuda to just south of Boston track.

looking at the surface on the GFS at hour 102 you can see a lot of deep convection to the east of the coastal low.  Wonder if this is a situation where GFS shunts the coastal almost due east.  Seen it before...

13 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Primary dies a little earlier, and coastal is just a beaut.  Only thing its missing is NW quadrant of precip, because at 994 and slow speed, I'd expect more qpf back into CTP/NEPA.

 

Total weenie opinion but I think the QPF would be higher given that track.  Give me what the CMC just showed, and I think we’d all be happy!

I...uh...like the CMC.  Looks like it stalls just east of OC MD.

I may regret this later, but I’ll take the ICON solution right now.  Good initial thump, bangs the coastal hard, definitely risk taint with it super tucked but if guarantees a nice hit.  I don’t like The east, or late sloppy phase option.

Just now, CarlislePaWx said:

This is unbelievable if it plays out with this long duration.  It starts snowing at 7:00AM Sunday morning and doesn't end until 12:00PM on TUESDAY!  Folks...that's 52 hours.  I think the longest storm of my life was 36 hours in January 1996.  I've never seen anything last this long.  WOW.  Oh yeah, the 14" of snow is pretty nice too...lol.

gonna be a long 4 days of tracking!

I like how the mid atl forum is describing the CMC.  "144 - 999mb just SE of ACY".  Yes please

I liked the ridge out west better on the 00Z GFS compared to 18Z and 12Z GFS.  I think it was a step towards the Euro.

Per the map in the Mid-Atl forum, 18Z Euro is pretty gung-ho on the Monday system for the southeast PA crew.  Definitely the most bullish of all models.

Looking at that low track you’d think we would have a chance at some snow.  The Euro track is about perfect for the central/southeast crew.