GrandmasterB

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

I was speaking in terms of heavy snow.  It generally leaves the LSV with 4-8 from the Coastal and 3-5" tonight at 10-1 ratios. Still a good snow.   

Sorry the closest 7” I see on the Euro Kuchera is Buffalo or Cape May.  

The Euro is a good model right?

Just now, KPITSnow said:

Appreciate the positivity and play by play, but this NAM run is pretty ugly. 

We dryslot while Indiana is getting it good with the coastal.  My weenie guess is that probably won’t verify.  I’ll stick with the Euro.

10 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

Hey gang, I’m not going to have time to put the spreadsheet together as I talked about earlier in the week.   Just for fun we could guess the total snowfall and qpf for MDT and I’ll keep track of that.   Respond to this post with your guess.  Cut off for submission is midnight tonight. Qpf will be used for tie breaker if needed 

14.2”

1.18 qpf

21”

1.7 qpf

lets go

Just now, paweather said:

speechless 

Just now, paweather said:

What could go wrong?

I couldn't draw that up any better in my basement!  PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE be right.

Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

This is clearly the most likely solution. 

A smooth 24-30.  Lolli's to 40.

Amazing overnight runs.  Let's bring it home!

Total beat down on the GFS

INCOMING!

C’mon ICON!  One time be right!!

Just a little 300 mile south shift vs. 0Z on the CMC. 

1 minute ago, paweather said:

What a cutoff. This is going to be an agonizing storm. 

Like 75 miles between 20 and 2.  Less than ideal!

Just now, Atomixwx said:

If you're north of US 22 on that run, enjoy the sunshine. 

narrow band that brings the goods.  Euro was similar in that it doesn’t have an expansive precip shield.  Heartache for someone.

As I eagerly await the GFS to refresh and rapidly toggle the previous runs...wondering if this is borderline unhealthy for frozen liquid.

1 minute ago, GrandmasterB said:

I’ll just take the 12Z Icon and ignore the rest of the models

It’s actually a tick Nwest from it’s previous run.  Too bad it sucks.  Onto the GFS!

I’ll just take the 12Z Icon and ignore the rest of the models

2 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said:

if the CMC and Euro could meet in the middle

Would look something like the GFS actually

if the CMC and Euro could meet in the middle

just east of Cape May at 96 so...yeah

ok, the south thing can stop now.

not sure the GFS is going to join any south trend this run.  Slightly north low compared to 12Z and slightly higher heights in front at 60.

2 minutes ago, paweather said:

You got the VA people scared. 

Snow is serious business!

At 132 the low is just south of long island.  The GFS spent 36 hours just randomly placing L's in the Atlantic.

LOL.  Just play the GFS surface map from hour 96 on.   I'm thinking the GFS is still trying to figure this one out.