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GrandmasterB

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Everything posted by GrandmasterB

  1. GrandmasterB
    ^or what Bubbler said!!
  2. GrandmasterB
    State College added in the discussion that the airmass will be dry ahead of the precip which allows that initial slug to fall as snow. Just gotta hope it comes in hot and heavy before the warm air wins out.
  3. GrandmasterB
    NWS State College notes that they made significant changes for Wednesday and it reads much more bullish. MAG is the goat!
  4. GrandmasterB
    Nice overnight runs. Looks like the trend was just colder overall. I’ll gladly accept my defeat to MAG!
  5. GrandmasterB
    12Z models continuing to trend warmer here in the southeast for Wednesday. I’m going to go against you and say I’m not seeing 1”. I hope I’m wrong and you’re right!!
  6. GrandmasterB
    All of that accum down here is on the backend. Most likely fraudulent but trend is interesting.
  7. GrandmasterB
    Yeah, the NAM was noticeable in how much colder it was than 12Z. Also, as others mentioned starting to see some support for the R/S line to crash back to the southeast at some point. Interesting to see if that holds up during the 0Z runs. Feels like we've been tracking this one forever and we still have a full day to go!
  8. GrandmasterB
    Pains me to say it but...I kind of see Wednesday turning into tomorrow's event. Anyone close to that SE edge may see any accumulations march steadily northwest. 12Z Euro already starting that move. Why bet against the seasonal trend at this point?
  9. GrandmasterB
    Life on the southeast edge of the snow/no snow cutoff is not a fun one.
  10. GrandmasterB
    That’s the something!
  11. GrandmasterB
    0Z NAM a tick colder Sunday night. Not a big difference but if you’re a hopeless snow tracker it’s…something?
  12. GrandmasterB
    Yeah I’m torn at this point. We’re just past the halfway point in terms of snow accumulation average. Still a little early to go all in on futility rooting. I would like to see some snow, but if LNS is at 0 by March 1 then let’s go full shutout!
  13. GrandmasterB
    My extremely low bar of 1” looking like it won’t happen around my area. Just a crazy poor winter!
  14. GrandmasterB
    First time the 1” line has been to my south and east all winter. That Euro run was acceptable. It’s not a big storm by any stretch but I’d like to at least get on the board!
  15. GrandmasterB
    Time for the NAM prediction post 84 hours and my guess is that would be a hit.
  16. GrandmasterB
    Keep us posted!
  17. GrandmasterB
    Usually the ensembles are east of the OP (for whatever reason) but there are quite a few lows WELL east of the OP.
  18. GrandmasterB
    I’m tossing the GFS simply because I didn’t care for the outcome.
  19. GrandmasterB
    Yeah, same. Nice to track a tangible threat…well two actually! Hopefully we all cash on one of them.
  20. GrandmasterB
    I love to extrapolate the 84hr NAM as much as the next weenie, and the 18Z sure looks good at 84. (Source: am weenie)
  21. GrandmasterB
    Low went from right over DC on the 0Z run to just west of Cape May this run. Solidly east.
  22. GrandmasterB
    Looks like State College getting it good this run.
  23. GrandmasterB
    12Z Euro looks a lot like the CMC. True central jackpot.
  24. GrandmasterB
    Same here! I’ve never seen a rainbow so early in the morning. I’m glad I stopped to check it out because it was gone in a few minutes. Really cool to see!
  25. GrandmasterB
    Gotta admit that I appreciate reading whatever analysis people post on here. Even if the gist is “sucky for next 2 weeks” or “another pants kick on the over night models”. This is a weather forum and makes me appreciate when times are good and it’s a place to commiserate when they aren’t!
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