Jns2183

First 7 days of April we were net -5.5 with an average of -0.78. The last 13 days we are net 112.6 with an average of 8,66 per day. . Pro

Top 3 warmest April ever looks almost likely at this point. Yesterday at KMDT the average temp was 68. Today it will be around 66. On Average we don’t have average temps like these until last week in May or first week in June. . Pro

A day with no work, no 4-year old, no fiancée, and no to-do list is a rare but wonderful gift. . Pro

It’s 70 with a dew point of 64 and it feels like swamp ass outside . Pro

That line looks nasty . Pro

Here’s a photo of it . Pro

I don’t see us escaping this. It’s all going to come in a 4-6 hour period as well. . Pro

A front basically stalled out will do that. But here’s south . Pro

So through 4/18 our average temperature this April has been 54.6. Average for the whole month is 52.2 which would put us at the 4th warmest in the last 20 years and tied for 14th with about 20 years ahead of us going back to 1888. Including ties we would need to have an average monthly temp of > 56.0 to hit the top 10 and >56.8 for top 5. So with a reminder that it was 70 at midnight last night it appears our high for the day will be 73 with a low of 63, an average of 68. Taking today’s values and the forecast temps for rest of April puts us at an average daily temp of 57.7, comfortably in 3rd place all time. 1915 at 57.1 would be 4th, 1941 would be 2nd at 58.2, and finally our 2017 April at 58.3 would be first. . Pro

Like clockwork . Pro

I I don’t think it even needs to clear out. Just a few breaks in the clouds with the sun will send temps back up into the 70’s once more and give us some CAPE. . Pro

Nice little break there. Looking to the south though..... NC and southern VA getting rocked right now . Pro

Why yes, a couple hour break in rain with some sun coming through surely won’t totally destabilize the atmosphere. Just as PWAT values greater than 1.5 combined with predominant storm motions of NNE never ever have caused issues with flooding in our area. . Pro

I might take the over on 2” . Pro

Not till late afternoon . Pro

Even rain hates Jersey . Pro

It is 70 outside It is midnight It is April 18 We are going to to “min” our way into a top 10 warm April . Pro

Did any guidance have your 3”+ Sunday? A few people here are going to get caught under embedded convection and watch a pond grow where grass once stood. Everyone else will have to settle for a mud fest. Whatever larger cycle we are in, it’s one that loves raining more than guidance. . Pro

The last 18 months this area has truly been flexing its “temperate rain forest” muscles. Watch us find a way to have a top 5 warmest and wettest April with the least sun. . Pro

Pinger’s in Mechanicsburg . Pro

Not bad I’d say . Pro

How swamped are the baseball fields? . Pro

0.17” at airport so far. Water is ponding everywhere, but that’s mostly due to the ground being so wet that a deer pissing would cause ponding. . Pro

Between March 20-21, 1958; 50”+ of snow fell in Morgantown, Pa in Chester county. . Pro

Looks like KMDT recorded 2.07” yesterday by midnight and another 0.32” early this morning. As of 3/21 they have 4.24” for March and 11.12” YTD. Normal to date for March is 2.22” and normal YTD is 7.49”. So we are 2.02” above for March to date (in fact the average for the entire month is 3.37”) and 3.63”,or 48.4%, above normal YTD. If there is any solace it’s that last year at this time we were at 12.17”, 1.05” higher then this year. That might be tempered a bit due to us finishing March last year with 2.97”(0.40” below normal!) and 12.41” YTD by 3/31/18. Finally, if you include the 0.34” KMDT has accumulated since Midnight it would take us 37 days, from March 23rd through April 28th of no precipitation (normal precipitation for those 37 days is 3.92”) for us to reach below normal precipitation levels YTD. . Pro