Jns2183

I totally agree the world is warming. I think the media hypes every storm blaming it on it. Plus I'm mostly totally opposed to all their solutions for it due to it's effect on people like my family vs global warmings effect and the actual effect it will have on global warming. They would need to come up with much better solutions from my perspective before they would have my support. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Swifties are pushing cult status Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Yes the earth is warming. The problems I have is that I have serious issues with the model predictions years and years in the future being taken as gospel when compared to how well the extended euro and cfs even got a multiple month forecast correct let alone the NWS one that is better. Second all the solutions hurt my family far more than other groups. If it's that life and death than the us military should enforce that no one person having an inkling of business or banking interest in the USA be allowed to have a network of over say $50 million with the rest going to vision the rest of the population. When they start enforcing that then I will take notice. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Do you enjoy the whiteout experience? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

People don't judge the weather April through October by the Min. Whether the public perceives those months as hot or cold by the max. November and March are a mix of max and min. December through February are judged by mins Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

It's this heavy mist/drizzle in downtown Harrisburg without a single return on radar. When's that Lancaster Doppler going to be up? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

First picture is the 18z hurricane model tracks 2nd is a multi model mean (EPS + GEFS + UKMET + CMC). Yellow is 9/21 @0Z Red is 9/21 @12Z Purple is 9/22 @0Z Black is NWS forcast track Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

So current pressure is 986mb and dropping. Looking at mesos and model they all almost initiate and don't drop below 995mb. The NAM drops down to 989mb 8 hours from now. So what happens if this thing makes landfall in the upper 970's or low 980's, which now seems very very likely. That's a 15mb+ difference between ground truth vs models. It seems the the models with stronger LP drove in further west and were slower a day or two ago. Not sure if that still is the same. Regardless. These models are initiationing with pressure significantly higher than reality. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

It keeps coming further north and west. I'm with @canderson buying wind being greater than forcast. Not sure up towards Harrisburg but definitely for southern Lancaster and York county Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Boom Hurricane watch as of 5pm for NC Winds up to 70mph. Still has at least 12 - 18 hours over warm water Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Long long duration event. Seems like nothing to crazy heavy, just 48-60 hours straight of light to moderate rain Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

This is going to make landfall stronger than anticipated Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

In memory of the soup nazi who gets to be the snow nazi this year! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I still see 2 inches next 72 hours in Harrisburg Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Won't it have a lot to do with strength and position of high pressure Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Fog for the win Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

God I miss these long duration storms Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Looks like there might be a lull in the preceiptation that aligns quite well with game time Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

18z Euro Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

That's beautiful Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

@Bubbler86 Maybe its because your in OCMDbur I think up here the storm should be named after you. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I will say a prayer to weather gods to give a 968mb low at landfall via nam. Haha Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Truthfully, this was best case for rain in my thinking. I knew models were trending towards that, but still. This was going all day n to the best rain case I could hope for the drought stricken LSV. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Wow that's a giant shift. Holy shit Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Get there early and enjoy it. It's like nothing I've ever encountered in my 20 years of bartending. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk