Jns2183

Anytime we get a majority eastern component to the wind this time of year it’s brutal here. . Pro

Is it me or were the 1980s incredibly boring and dull for climate events. You had cool, dry summers and winters, and cold, wet spring/fall. . Pro

That’s the average mean temperature for June, July, August. Coldest 30 years Year JJA AVG 1903 69.233 1927 69.400 1982 70.000 1907 70.600 1891 70.633 1889 70.733 1904 70.900 1946 71.000 1915 71.067 1912 71.100 1897 71.267 1902 71.267 1950 71.500 1979 71.533 1924 71.600 1920 71.733 1956 71.800 1926 71.833 1958 71.833 1929 71.900 1909 71.933 1992 71.967 1890 72.033 1905 72.033 1910 72.033 1989 72.267 2004 72.367 1896 72.400 1916 72.433 1940 72.467 . Pro

On our top precipitation list #1 is separated from #5 by 19.1” #5 from #10 by 5.4” #10 from #15 by 1.99” #15 from #20 by 1.16” #20 from #25 by 0.90” If we are in the top #25 then we are in the top 20%. #25 is only 45.18”, 4.44” above our 1981-2010 average of 40.74”, which we hit last year sometime in the evening on 8/3. In 2011 it took us till 8/28. In 1972 it took until 7/31 . Pro

I wonder how many times it has rained >=1” for 5 consecutive days here. Now how many times has it done that without any tropical Influence . Pro

At KMDT 7/21 1.66” 7/22 1.04” 7/23 3.26” 7/24. 2.03” 7/25. 1.39” 9.38” in 5 straight days. We had 12.09” for the month, so >77%. Sep 2011. TS Lee and beforehand 9/4. 1.33” 9/5. 1.32” 9/6. 2.02” 9/7 7.71” 9/8. 1.00” 13.38” in 5 days, 72.5% of 18.43” month June 1972. Agnes 6/21. 5.81” 9/22 9.13” 14.94” in 2 days, 80.5% of 18.55” . Pro

I can only image the shit storm today that would happen over peoples yards if we had a June-July combo with =90 & 20 days >=95 with 6 of them 100+ . Pro

The heat in 1966 was insane as well DAYS >= 90 May 0 (1) Jun 14 (4) Jul 23 (8) Aug 20 (5) Sep 3 (2) Annual 60 (20) 1966 holds the record for days >=90 for year (60) crushing 1944’s wimpy 48. For some reference 1991 & 2016 are 4th & 5th, respectively, on the list at 45 & 43 days. So think about how hot it was in 2016 and add 17 more days (39.5%) of 90 degree weather. They are 2nd all-time for June & hold the records for July & August. There are 92 days from June 1st through August 31st. In 2016 we hit >=90 34 times in those 92 days, or roughly 37%. In 1966 we hit the mark 57 days, or roughly 62% of the time. The next closest year is 1943 with 42 and 1944 with 41 times. Looking at >=95, the annual mean is 4 days & 1966 had 28 days, 26 from June - August. In 2nd place is 1999 with 22 days, all of which came in June, July, or August. It also had an insane 18 days in July of >= 95 degree temps. 1966, in 2nd only had 12. >=98 1966 had 12 (3 in June, 9 in July) and 1999 had 9, all in July. >=100 1966 had 6 (1 in June, 5 in July), 1999 had 6 all in July. But the cake is this. Although it hit 102 twice in 1999, it hit 104+ 3 times in 1966. The only other year to hit 104 was 1988. 1966 also set the all-timer at 107. Shockingly it holds no Monthly mean temperature records that summer. 2016 with its August mean temp of 79.1 beat out 1966 78.2. The all time monthly mean temp record easily goes to July 1999 with 81.8 mean, July 1955 was 2nd with 80.4. Those are the only months where the mean temp was >=80. July 1966 is actually 4th to July 2011, with Both at 79.9 but 2011 being a couple of hundredths of a degree warmer. . Pro

Here is some perspective on our now swamp land. Up until 2011 the all-time annual rainfall record here was a seemingly unbeatable year of Agnes in 1972 with 59.27”, followed by 1889’s 57.07”. In 8 years we have obliterated 1972, twice. In 2011 with 73.73” and last years 67.03”. The fact that we did not have a single tropical system makes last year and this current run we are on (14/16 above normal months since January 2018) totally insane. Now let us take time machine back to an era where gas cost $0.32/gal, the average price for a new home was $14,200 & a new car cost $2,650. Batman the television series along with Star Trek debuted this year, and Lyndon B Johnson was president. It was 1966 and the now swampy Central Pa was a desert by the time August ended. This was the rainfall from May - August (normals 1981-2010) May 0.98” (3.79”) June 0.07” (3.60”) July 0.81” (4.61”) Aug 1.53” (3.20”) TOTAL 3.39” (15.20”) 77.7% COMPARISON TO WET PERIODS FROM 2018 & 2011 From June through September last year we had 28.28” (15.48”) 82.7% > NORMAL 2011 from August through November Aug 8.65” (3.20”) Sept 18.43” (4.07”) Oct 4.15” (3.27”) Nov 4.50” (3.23”) TOTAL 35.73” (13.77”) 159.4% > NORMAL Since is pretty darn hard to get below normal by greater than 100% that Summer of 1966 was impressive . Pro

I’ll wait for those summer days where I have a 20%-30% chance of storms. I’ve done much better from those days over the years it seems. 60mph + winds, hail, 4” of rain. Ever few years when the stars align I get absolutely man handled from some random pop up beast with no other storm within 60 miles of it . Pro

We all know what having a warm front draped across us can lead too. The sun & heating is just increasing the odds . Pro

You most definitely caught the core then. I sat out on the back porch and enjoyed the nice little show. More action with this one here then any on the headline days these past couple weeks. Figures there was only a 20% chance this morning. . Pro

Nice little light show from this . Pro

Boy did it hit 70 fast. Nice out with breeze. Sun alone fells warm. . Pro

First 7 days of April we were net -5.5 with an average of -0.78. The last 13 days we are net 112.6 with an average of 8,66 per day. . Pro

Top 3 warmest April ever looks almost likely at this point. Yesterday at KMDT the average temp was 68. Today it will be around 66. On Average we don’t have average temps like these until last week in May or first week in June. . Pro

A day with no work, no 4-year old, no fiancée, and no to-do list is a rare but wonderful gift. . Pro

It’s 70 with a dew point of 64 and it feels like swamp ass outside . Pro

That line looks nasty . Pro

Here’s a photo of it . Pro

I don’t see us escaping this. It’s all going to come in a 4-6 hour period as well. . Pro

A front basically stalled out will do that. But here’s south . Pro

So through 4/18 our average temperature this April has been 54.6. Average for the whole month is 52.2 which would put us at the 4th warmest in the last 20 years and tied for 14th with about 20 years ahead of us going back to 1888. Including ties we would need to have an average monthly temp of > 56.0 to hit the top 10 and >56.8 for top 5. So with a reminder that it was 70 at midnight last night it appears our high for the day will be 73 with a low of 63, an average of 68. Taking today’s values and the forecast temps for rest of April puts us at an average daily temp of 57.7, comfortably in 3rd place all time. 1915 at 57.1 would be 4th, 1941 would be 2nd at 58.2, and finally our 2017 April at 58.3 would be first. . Pro

Like clockwork . Pro

I I don’t think it even needs to clear out. Just a few breaks in the clouds with the sun will send temps back up into the 70’s once more and give us some CAPE. . Pro