LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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More GFS like for sure
- 1,839 replies
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- 1
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- we just jinxed it
- helluvaway to run a torch
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Does anyone have the links for the individual GEFS members and the EPS Snow mean from weathermodels.com? I can't seem to find them.
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To my eyes....FV3 stays all or mostly snow at DCA. Quicker to the coast.
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I like this position a lot more than some strung out POS or hoping a NS SW saves the day. Definitely weaker with that feature. Stout HP pushing a little more and we get a quicker transfer.
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Thump, sleet, CCB. Sign me up.
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144 low over VA beach. 850 into central MD. Precip bomb.
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Transfer to interior SC at 138. 850C inbetween EZF and Ric. Mod snow throughout the LWX.
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132 12z GFS has the primary into TN. Flurries into DC.
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If that vort in the NE was 6 hours slower from dropping in... Everything else in the run was great.
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Much better stream interaction too. I'm with Yoda move that piece and it would have been a nice hit.
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NS vort pinwheels into NE and squashes it. Now I definitely remember where I saw that before.
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ICON is a southern slider. Flurries to DC. I just can't put my finger on where I have seen this map before.... Waiting for the vort panels to come out on TT to see how we got here.
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https://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-area.php
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Thump to ice to dryslot.
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FV3 looks like it has a primary into KY
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Dead zone between the two. Need that NS sw further west to dive down the backside of the SS SW
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Better ridge out west as well.
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EPS sure does like the 18th-20th time frame. Woof
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Good look from the Euro at 180, NS Sw washing out a little quicker.
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Much more robust southern wave on the Euro at 150 compared to the GFS
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Looks like some of the ensembles from last night. Less northern stream and southern wave turning the coast. Under 10 days!
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Scrolling through the members of the EPS, there is definitely some interest in the day 10 deal of a storm of some sort. Cold seems to be around and if we can avoid the NS wrecking the mids, could be some potential.
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It must be so bad that it crashed weathermodels.com
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I know we talked yesterday about the absence of a "blue" trough over the east with that look up top. Could it be that some members still have the same pattern we are in and are skewing the mean? That's a pretty good great look, ignoring the colors over us lol.
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The differences up top are pretty staggering between the two. Euro has a +NAO throughout the eps run.
