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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. Coming in two parts this go round. Might be another hit after 156
  2. GFS looks good through 138 again. The NS vort on the CMC just washes out so the boundary never gets past us so it opens the door for it to run west.
  3. Yeah I found that strange when I checked temps that there isn't much cold air around. With that track I'm pretty sure that's the last thing we would need to worry about.
  4. ICON keeps the follow up wave, just a little to far south for next week. Seems like all guidance so far has some semblance of a storm after the front clears. Results to be determined.
  5. GFS again with a good look on the follow up wave next week
  6. ICON should have a nice thump as well for the Northern and western crowd.
  7. Agreed. Too much of a good thing I suppose. The temp anomalies show the center of the cold still over the Midwest. I bet our opportunities would come from some sort of relaxation of that as we move forward in time. The last couple of frames do try and stretch it E-W as the war continues to move into the NAO region.
  8. Cold shouldn't be an issue moving forward with that look, lol.
  9. 12z eps building the -EPO to -NAO bridge around the 25th now. Should be busy in here starting sometime next week
  10. Lol I hadn’t even seen the cmc yet. Should have prefaced 0z at 6z respectively
  11. Right off OBX at 168. So we have the FV3, CMC, and GFS now showing the follow up idea. What could go wrong
  12. Looks like the GFS is in the follow up idea camp at 12z today.
  13. Maybe some light stuff but not anything like the ICON.
  14. I wouldn't base a forecast off of it if that's what your asking, especially since its on its own with both the size of the initial thump and with the wraparound. GFS has been warmer west then all other guidance. UKMET is closest with the EURO in-between the two camps.
  15. Nice thump on the ICON for the Northern and Western Crew. With limited maps, I'm sure some would be sleet and not all snow but its a nice hit.
  16. Still only are 0.5-1.5" for most. Should freshen everything up though for everyone.
  17. 12z NAM Shows snow breaking out at 0z tonight. Looks a little more juiced than 06z.
  18. Miller bs can work in severe blocks but this is not how we want to make our money Agreed. But if we can get the advertised look with blocking up top its not a shutout pattern.
  19. You can really see that scanning through the snowfall maps from day 11-15 on the EPS. Lots of tracks that look like they originate in Canada and slide down the western ridge as they move east as the SS is pushed south. Could be a miller b type patter with some blocking showing signs of life just after day 10. The hope would be as the cold relaxes but with the block in tact post day 15, that they could meet up near us.
  20. Everyone stays in the 30's or lower on the ICON. Man that is close. Very little stream interaction this run until late.
  21. Maybe a couple hours slower but still looks good. Gets better though the end of the run.
  22. EURO at 96. Western area of the forum look to never go above freezing, potential for some backside snow.
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