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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. LP08
    Seems that the first couple pieces of guidance at 12z (NAM, RGEM,ICON) delay the phase out west compared to their previous runs. And before anyone says anything i know these are not even the B squad lol
  2. LP08
    I'm worried too but my only hopium is that it is a true artic airmass (in place before the storm) will be a little more stubborn than usual WAA. I've been here too long. That warm air aloft ALWAYS comes in quicker than modeled. I've been telling friends 6-10 so hopefully at least 6" can be reached.
  3. LP08
    The phase was slower/later too, which helped keep heights lower as well
  4. LP08
    The problem too is its getting shared EVERYWHERE. My friend group, X, facebook. Ive seen some mets online trying to fight back against it.
  5. LP08
    We can't make fun of the NAM then post the 87 HR SREFs. Both our terrible and outside there "usefull range". Both the 12k and 3k have a small but noticeable cold push over the east through 36. Thats all I am looking for.
  6. LP08
    Through 24hr, better cold push over the east on the NAM.
  7. LP08
    Reading comments will be fun on that. Maybe my beer run won’t be as busy today !
  8. LP08
    It’s outrageous lol
  9. LP08
    Ukie thump still looking good
  10. LP08
    Looks like we lose 700 mb at 90
  11. LP08
    AiGFS will be north. Much more interaction out west
  12. LP08
    ICON was a bad run for Chicago
  13. LP08
    There’s another lobe North of New England that comes down (quicker than 18z) that compresses heights and prevents the trough from tilting more negative.
  14. LP08
    Better thump than 18z
  15. LP08
    Yeah this icon run not looking great out west.
  16. LP08
    Dry January ends when the first sleet pellet hits my window.
  17. LP08
    When we get the new data and it makes it worse, will they run them again without it?
  18. LP08
    AIGFS with a bump north. Will check temps when available.
  19. LP08
    All the times we need a phase and some random NS SW screws it up. We need one of those hah
  20. LP08
    Deleted. I screwed it up i think but that point still stands lol
  21. LP08
    Primary won't die quick enough with an H5 look like that...
  22. LP08
    Maybe I'm wrong but it looks a little more "phasey" out west.
  23. LP08
    It’s already over and he failed lol
  24. LP08
    Always. 3k is great for that. Find the mix line and add 10-20 miles north and it’s pretty dang good
  25. LP08
    All sleet south of the snow vs. the freezing rain seen by other models.
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