weatherwiz

I think Ryan posted on X that a tech is going out there tomorrow

maybe some outflow from the cells around having an influence too?

Well I guess it depends on what ones expectations are and understanding of the whole picture.

I think you'll get storms Friday. Rainfall rates will be pretty intense so you should be good.

Friday will be numerous storms across Connecticut (though south of Hartford probably).

You may be able to chase tomorrow....I think the activity will persist a few hours after sunset. The GFS anyways keeps going back and forth with the timing of the front for Sunday/Monday but one of those days could be pretty decent.

I think you'll see an enhanced risk with Albany on the far west flank of it.

yup I'm so pissed. Had the last two weeks off and we got SQUAT. Now we going to get active. UGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

Alien signals

That's what we want to see.

Actually tomorrow could be a pretty solid severe day across a narrow corridor. Wouldn't surprised to see an enhanced risk. This is getting overlooked with all the worrying about several sites being "1-2F" too warm.

Friday should be good for storms south of the Pike. I wouldn't be surprised to see some transient supercells both tomorrow and Friday. This absolutely blows...best threat tomorrow is north of the MA Pike and I'll be in Branford. Best threat Friday is down in CT and I'll be in MA

make sure everyone gets tested first

Sure does, could see some flash flooding too as storms should train. Shear isn't overly strong but looks like there will be a narrow corridor of bulk shear > 30 knots tomorrow within that area. Lapse rates aren't too terrible either.

I was thinking about that yesterday, how much does a "higher" launching pad really influence what the high temperatures will be? I would think the correlation has to be extremely low. I would figure a higher launching pad just means you're already fairly well-mixed. Meanwhile, if you're radiating well your lows will drop. But, if you're achieving full mixing and say expecting a high of 95 or whatever...who cares if you start at 71 vs 66...all that's going to happen is you're going to see a much larger jump in the morning hours from the 66 versus the 71 once mixing gets going. (I hope this made sense haha).

This is great. Wish it could stay like this right into September with the only breaks coming from cold fronts and after a day or two of relief go right back into it

I love these super warm, humid summer nights with the bit of a breeze. It’s even better when you have approaching thunderstorms and you can hear the thunder rumbling in the distance.

GFS with a nice severe threat for Monday

1°F per daily post?

GFS/NAM MOS 91 for BDL tomorrow and the NBM is 97

I was really hoping for mid 70's dewpoints. There is something magical about wearing jeans and just feeling the sweat develop on your legs and if you listen super closely, you can hear a faint sizzle as the material of the jeans slowly absorbs the sweat. The sensation you get when you slowly tug the jeans down to try and take them off...it's indescribable.

Maybe we should add modeled 2M temp maps to the garbage list with the snow maps

For the Convective weenies, someone in the SNE Storm Chasers group made created an app for viewing SPC mesoanalysis. It’s a PITA viewing that on mobile. I downloaded the app and played around with it a bit…much easier.

If people are looking for relief from the heat/humidity over the weekend they're going t have to camp out in their fridge

Saturday will be hot south of the boundary but how hot will depend on how much cloud debris we have and how early convection blossoms.