weatherwiz

Key is where instability gradient sets-up. These things like to ride that. FWIW, often times models too far aggressive with how far north that gets...

Pretty impressive looking setup here. Connecticut looks to be in a prime spot actually being on the northern fringe of the EML should help in the essence the EML will provide a cap, however, cap shouldn't be too strong to inhibit development. Despite this occurring overnight, strong surge of theta-e air and extremely impressive jet dynamics should compensate...plus EML and high theta-e air will keep solid instability. This could be big...

I still want to learn Python (and become a Python master) I've thought about seeking out whether there are any online courses solely designed for teaching Python (geared towards meteorology).

forget the models...nowcast and mesoanalysis lol

woah tornado warning overnight in NE CT.

Really no change in thoughts. Should see a line of thunderstorms continue to the coast through the overnight with localized damaging wind gusts within the line. Will see some localized flash flooding.

That's still an absurd title

That's totally absurd. This is not even remotely close to entertainment. If news media is really deemed that then someone out there...or a group of people need to starting working on correcting that. If social media outlets (such as Facebook and Twitter) are "blocking" posts which provide misinformation which is being posted around then the same should be done for news outlets.

How is it even legal for crap like that to be published? The author of the article should be fired and whoever is responsible for allowing that to be published should be fired.

The severe threat is still there. Very strong dynamics with this system...don't need alot of instability. Actually remains fairly unstable well into the overnight too. Should see damaging wind potential hold through eastern Mass.

May see some nasty localized flash flooding tomorrow night ughhh

I think I was 17 when I first ever joined (which well was very rocky for me). I’ll be 33 in a month…so nearly half of my life has been on the boards!! I owe my life to it

Chillen and heavy, heavy drinking…not me though. Just had two drinks with the last one now. Taking an 11:00 train to bethel which should be there 12:30 then driving to Springfield.

A little chilly now but what a night

On the train to NYC. Such a great day

That 89 year was crazy...want to say maybe 7 tornadoes on 7/10/89 and then another 6 or 7 in the November event

cold beer

Certainly did come west a bit...I can tell b/c the western fringe of it makes an appearance in the window on the US View on the Cod maps

A pretty stout high pressure builds in for Thursday behind the cold front and that looks to hold right through Saturday! But the next front may move through next Sunday so there's still some room for timing to change a bit. But if that high pressure does hold...I don't think you could ask for more perfect weather

Wednesday really looks intriguing...actually flash flooding could be a concern

Agreed. I mean if anything, torrential rains and gusty winds could certainly cause a bit of a setback with power restorations and clean-up. Last I heard there are still many people without running water and access to clean water.

Thankfully shear looks a bit unfavorable in the Gulf this week but that tropical wave which emerges into the Gulf is sure going to try I bet

warm front nearby too so should be some nice turning. just need to destabilize

oh man...I totally, totally forgot about their website. Wow...this has come along way since they started it. This looks incredible. I love too how they break tornadoes down into "Pre-doppler" and "Doppler" era...that's exactly what I did too many years ago for a lightning round presentation at one of the conferences and what I did in a project I ended up using as senior research. I was always hoping to take that project off the ground but I never really did...I totally suck with math/statistics and I just never trusted my methodology.

I think the majority of that is Sunday into early Monday as the front moves through. The front may hold up long enough to keep the risk for showers/thunder for eastern sections through the first half of Monday though. Although maybe some cold pool showers Monday PM?