You can see where the jackpot zone will reside...actually may see two jackpot zones. Actually even looks like a bit of a subsidence zone right now, though that should fill in.
Yeah I hope the "disappointment" of not getting damage doesn't overshadow the impressiveness of this system. This system is the legit definition of meteorology. So many processes at play and interactions.
I think if 925 and 850 can close off a bit farther west that might help draw in colder air in the llvls much faster and as long as the track stays par we would be able to lock it in.
You get a 100+ 500mb jet streak rounding the base of the trough as it moves through the OV...couldn't ask for anything better in that regard.
And we should continue to generate precip on the backside given this look
Regardless of what happens with snow this is going to be an incredible storm to watch unfold. This could still be quite significant in areas like the Berks...maybe NW CT? I would think though we're going to see some impressive dynamic cooling. Dual pol will be fun to watch with the melting layer crashing. The dynamics with this are through the roof. Also have to think there could be a flood threat (maybe coastal too...have to look at tides).
the older version did (at least in like the boundary layer area)...the new version had a horrific cold bias...think it was really bad two years ago when it came out though there was some improvement last year. Not sure if any improvement had been done with it though. I want to say yes the GFS was hitting ice potential hard in OK/northern TX for several days and seems to be pretty accurate. I know last year it would go crazy with icing events