weatherwiz

This will be close

We might get the core. I want to get nailed with this core. So much thunder…rumble after rumble after rumble.

I love me

Went to Bernardston

October...hockey, falling leaves, and Aaron Judge strikeouts.

Actually going to go to Northfield, MA.

well going to make a move towards Ringe. That may be a bit too far north but it seems like that area (especially just south towards fitchburg) will have the best aerial coverage of storms.

that's pretty wild holy crap

The upcoming pattern isn't going to feature sustained heat/humidity. It is going to be an active patterns with fronts and shortwaves. With this, we'll get some hot/humid days mixed in, especially ahead of systems followed by a return to more seasonal conditions. Our perspectives of what should be happening are way out of whack. This looks like a much more typical stretch of weather for this time of year. We shouldn't be building in extended heat/humidity regimes early or mid-June. We should still be active with fronts and varying between a few days of heat/humidity followed by several days of seasonal weather. Building in extended heat/humidity shouldn't really happen until you move into and through July.

mesoanalysis isn't looking bad at all. In fact, shear is even "slightly" better than I thought it would be. Looking at the 12z ALB sounding, it looks like there is a little wind max between H5-H7 rolling through which is enhancing vertical shear a bit.

Have to watch next Friday/Saturday for some severe potential...been a signal for a few days. I think we get one hot day end of next week ahead of the front but have to watch warm front.

Thinking of going to Ringe, NH as a spot...there is a place with some decent views there. But I am thinking the area from Rindge/Fitchburg/Leominster may be the "best" local corridor today. Right along the instability axis and somewhat stronger (still meh) wind shear. What is our goal for today? See some CGs and hopefully a shelf cloud.

That’s why I was originally thinking remaining along CT/MA border. Unfortunately, this may be the “best”/only opportunity of vacation so have to roll with it. Maybe Tuesday can offer something or next Saturday but too far out.

It sucks shear blows.

Probably have to head to southwest NH today.

Not always the case, however, in the case of today that should be an indicator there will be a few intense thunderstorms this afternoon. Thanks to the steep lapse rates we have some decent elevated instability right now and with stronger heating today we should develop moderate instability (~2000-2500 J of MLCape) and we’ll have the weak arc boy dart coming through.

I still think we see some bangers overnight so don't be surprised to hear some thunder

See how much happier everyone is posting heat/humidity obs? This is our happy place

Just a tad hazy

Won't have to go far either

could see some bangers around daybreak too

Yup...was telling my friend earlier, we probably want tomorrow to have very little in the way of storms with Friday holding the better potential. I wish shear was a tad stronger but I'll take some intense pulse type storms.

Even keeps that pseudo EML through Friday. The shear is meh but that's some pretty hefty CAPE for these parts (MLCAPE 2500-3000). But yeah tomorrow probably has some capping issues but that weak boundary could be enough to set something off, especially early evening. Friday I think may have a bit more potential for storms.

NAM continues to be quite interesting late tomorrow afternoon and now during the evening

Driving…too lazy and out of shape to hike