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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    This is really depressing. I'm considering going back to drinking 40's
  2. weatherwiz
    Been pretty busy but finally had some time over the past few hours to dig into the details. This is what I'm thinking for Connecticut. This ABSOLUTELY FOOKING SUCKS THAT IT'S COLD AS *** OUTSIDE AND YET WE'RE GOING TO GET A MESSY CRAP WITH RAIN. UN FOOKING FAIR https://weatherwiz.blogspot.com/2022/12/major-winter-storm-likely-for-northwest.html
  3. weatherwiz
    This has the makings of a pretty decent ice storm where CAD wins out...maybe not necessarily within our region but that CAD signal is quite intense and strong. Some of those valley areas aren't going to see that disturbed
  4. weatherwiz
    I guess where the secondary develops and where cyclogeneis gets going will play more of a significant roll in this, but that high to the northeast is so large and strong...its just hard to see warmer air bleeding too far into the interior. Again, an earlier developing secondary and strengthening one establishing the southerly flow ahead of it probably would override but I even think BDL is going to get a crushing from this.
  5. weatherwiz
    I think it's still a bit too far out to really discount anything. There are so many factors here that will be a determinant. One of them is how the baroclinic zone evolves there in the southeast which will be tied into how progressive the cold front is moving across the south. Move that a bit faster and the baroclinic zone gets shunted east.
  6. weatherwiz
    Haven't had much time to really look thoroughly in-depth, but I am a bit excited for this potential. Obviously coastal pees the excitement isn't there, but I don't think we're done seeing the coldest solution yet. This thing is going to be extremely dynamic as we have the supply of cold air...just have to lock that in. Going to be a big time gradient setting up though
  7. weatherwiz
    Pretty fun little storm. Always nice too when the first one goes about as expected.
  8. weatherwiz
    The end of the week is certainly interesting. The only expectations I have right now is that it's something to track and monitor. It's a very complex pattern and evolution so we're going to see a thousand potential solutions over the next few days. The pieces are there for a big storm, regardless of precip type.
  9. weatherwiz
    This is going to be such an amazing fun week of weather. Snow event here tonight, a pretty significant blizzard in the northern Plains, severe weather Tuesday evening (though don't think it will be an outbreak), and then a potentially big storm here end of the week. Finally the boredom is over.
  10. weatherwiz
    It will be interesting to see how things go in about 2-3 hours. Looks like the strongest overall lift is beginning to move overhead now. As this starts to depart east precipitation may begin to shut down quickly. Exception will be where there is enhancement from the inverted trough which could be from like northeast Mass down through Worcester area into northern CT.
  11. weatherwiz
    Steepest lapse rates moving overhead now with some moderate lift. Wouldn't be surprised to see some thundersnow soon
  12. weatherwiz
    Close to 1.5” in Springfield
  13. weatherwiz
    coming down nicely now in Springfield
  14. weatherwiz
    I think the majority of the dry air is a bit above the DGZ and there seems to be sufficient moisture within the DGZ so I don't think dry air was much of an issue in this case.
  15. weatherwiz
    Matching up perfectly where DGZ RH and omega is overlapped
  16. weatherwiz
    I'm sure it will. There's definitely some localized areas of enhanced lift out there. Guidance has been pretty consistent in this becoming more widespread; particularly across much of Connecticut going into the evening. It really isn't for another 3-4 hours we should see this take pace. This is also when forecast soundings showed by best profiles with strongest lift into the snow growth zone.
  17. weatherwiz
    Just realized...get to watch the Bruins tonight and snow falling...woohoo
  18. weatherwiz
    I still think 2-4'' is good for you.
  19. weatherwiz
    Nothing crazy, but a bit of some enhanced 700 fronto over northwest Connecticut. Definitely something to watch over these next few hours
  20. weatherwiz
    So far here in Springfield (a bit northeast of downtown)
  21. weatherwiz
    You can tell there are some pretty solid soundings over Connecticut/Massachusetts. Have the area of steeper lapse rates working in as well. Definitely going to be (perhaps multiple) narrow corridors of some enhanced lift/rates later on (when assessing 925 fronto as well).
  22. weatherwiz
    Light snow here in Springfield!
  23. weatherwiz
    Great time…great to see everyone again!
  24. weatherwiz
    Grabbed a table in the back. They said it’s going ti get busy
  25. weatherwiz
    I just went into the back room
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