If referring to bufkit, both are separate. If you’re using cobb11 it’s deriving the snow ratios from 5 or 6 products.
If you choose maxT in profile you can adjust the max temp to compute different ratios
Just going through some bufkit soundings but here is New Haven, CT
1. You can see the deep DGZ but also look at the time period around that AM stuff...ratios up around 20:1 with some strong lift then again during the evening. If this morning band verifies snow rates could approach 1-1.5" per hour
yup...sucks when you get this convective chasing crap because there is no way to know for sure if its accurate until the event is unfolding. It also gets going just a tad too late...you can see if trying to recover and build NW at hr 30-33
Anyways at least this looks like a good solid regionwide 3-6" event. Don't want anyone interpret the discussion of the mid-levels meaning this is cooked lol. Just moreso trying to gauge what's the upper ceiling we're working with here
That's the direction I am leaning towards. I've spent the past hour just looking at anything and everything relating to storm evolution and it's really difficult to come to a conclusion that the mid-levels develop in time to really produce. If it does happen...this is going to be a big overperformer and I would still expect that to be within the CT River Valley...but just not seeing enough to bite and expect it will happen.
Agreed, I don't think we see anything significant, anything will be slight ticks. I do agree with him though about beefing up the dynamics, that is going to be important IMO, especially farther west into the region
They are in a tough spot with Panarin because if they end up moving him to a team he prefers, that could cut back the return. If he wants say Florida or Colorado the Rangers would be screwed. Mika will be difficult to move in-season.
Curious to see what 18z HRRR has specifically for early morning. I think Scott mentioned this but there is def signal for a band of heavy snow early in the morning
This is really such a tough forecast, I'm becoming quite optimistic but this could still go either way. Outside of eastern areas really, we're relying heavily on the mid-levels evolving. If they don't really crank...that puts a huge damper moving west across the region into the interior.
What a weekend this will be
Snow overperformed here today
Bruins go for their 6th consecutive win tonight
Going to get maybe several inches of snow tomorrow
Pats/Texas
Bruins likely acquiring Rasmus Andersson
Bring it all baby...wrap me up in the goodies