weatherwiz

Noticed the same thing driving home earlier

Just going through some bufkit soundings but here is New Haven, CT 1. You can see the deep DGZ but also look at the time period around that AM stuff...ratios up around 20:1 with some strong lift then again during the evening. If this morning band verifies snow rates could approach 1-1.5" per hour

Anxiously awaiting the 0z NAM bufkit.

I'd feel confident about that should this occur. Starting to think it is gaining more legs though

Morning stuff could really overperform somewhere

northern CT. You can see how deep the DGZ is as Will alluded too. Pretty good lift here too. Can't wait to see this on bufkit

What a sunset

Probably won’t see a plow at all

Beautiful, looks like winter again.

4” here!!!

Lmao are those two ever in sync? They’re like a toxic Hollywood couple

yup...sucks when you get this convective chasing crap because there is no way to know for sure if its accurate until the event is unfolding. It also gets going just a tad too late...you can see if trying to recover and build NW at hr 30-33

outside of interior NE MA those rates are putrid. that's salt shaker snow

chasing convection again?

Anyways at least this looks like a good solid regionwide 3-6" event. Don't want anyone interpret the discussion of the mid-levels meaning this is cooked lol. Just moreso trying to gauge what's the upper ceiling we're working with here

That's the direction I am leaning towards. I've spent the past hour just looking at anything and everything relating to storm evolution and it's really difficult to come to a conclusion that the mid-levels develop in time to really produce. If it does happen...this is going to be a big overperformer and I would still expect that to be within the CT River Valley...but just not seeing enough to bite and expect it will happen.

Agreed, I don't think we see anything significant, anything will be slight ticks. I do agree with him though about beefing up the dynamics, that is going to be important IMO, especially farther west into the region

They are in a tough spot with Panarin because if they end up moving him to a team he prefers, that could cut back the return. If he wants say Florida or Colorado the Rangers would be screwed. Mika will be difficult to move in-season. Curious to see what 18z HRRR has specifically for early morning. I think Scott mentioned this but there is def signal for a band of heavy snow early in the morning

My guess will be Lohrei 2026 1st Rounder (Boston's not Toronto's) If there is an extension involved then you probably see someone like Lysell added in

This is really such a tough forecast, I'm becoming quite optimistic but this could still go either way. Outside of eastern areas really, we're relying heavily on the mid-levels evolving. If they don't really crank...that puts a huge damper moving west across the region into the interior.

What a weekend this will be Snow overperformed here today Bruins go for their 6th consecutive win tonight Going to get maybe several inches of snow tomorrow Pats/Texas Bruins likely acquiring Rasmus Andersson Bring it all baby...wrap me up in the goodies

yup...and I think that could end up being pretty damn close to the CT River Valley. The euro really impressed me and for as much as I discounted the AIs its time to take the consistency they've had seriously and factor into the forecast

Great 700mb fronto and deep DGZ into central Mass. Perfect recipe

The impact of the profile farther east would be on the ratios...that snow is going to be quite heavy and wet and I could certainly see some concerns for scattered power outages. One thing I'll say too about tomorrow (and this is a big plus for everyone) is that DGZ is very deep (similar to today), it will not take much lift to really produce good dendrites and that will be a big player where you have the colder profile. I think there is going to be a zone of 8-12" somewhere which will be the max jackpot and I think that could end up being the CTRV...there will be a secondary jackpot of about 6-9" somewhere in eastern MA with totals lowered due to the wetter snow.