weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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Gotta watch exactly where that boundary ends up because we may see some transient supercells along it
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wouldn't be surprised to see a tornado today anywhere from central VT through central NH
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AWT
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Playoff hockey! Nothing like it
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ahhh yes, today is the 15th. I'm a day off
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0z GFS will be getting into May!!!
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should be good down into CT too
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starting to pop some convection. HRRR/RRFS have hinted at something popping around Springfield/BDL around this time
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Glad we don't have to worry about that
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That's some pretty impressive elevated instability by the NAM overnight. Even the latest HRRR is pretty solid. Think we want to watch for whether we can sneak into the northern edge of the steep lapse rate plume which should at least graze the coast. Regardless, still decent elevated instability but could be looking at something along the lines of 500-800 J versus upwards of 1500+ if we can get into those steeper lapse rates. Perhaps some risk for large hail?
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Yeah that was frustrating the heck out of me. Had two phones in my hand because I was taking some video in the event the winds got real so wasn't able to easily switch tilts to try and sample a bit higher up. I wish we could get a TDWR at BDL
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wind was kind of meh here...that kind of blows. core of the wind must have missed this area.
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IN A WARNING!!!!! Let’s go!!!!
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Might have to watch that cell going into Litchfield county
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Haven’t heard any thunder but it’s about to absolutely downpour here. Sky is super dark as this closes in
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Not so sure that lead area was anything meteorological. Kind of wild looping that though
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large tornado in wisconsin
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beer?
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This is more for Wednesday but wild differences between guidance at BOS for tomorrow 6z MAV: 65 0z MET: 57 9z high then dropping 7z NBM: 69 I was actually expecting the 13z NBM to tame down at BOS but nope...came in at 71 . Been that seems wayyyy too high. Highest 3hr value anyways is 64 which still might be a bit high...though BOS might have a chance to climb before the E winds kick in
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Absolutely wild the differences in guidance in how convection develops/evolves tomorrow. the 3km NAM highlights exactly what I was thinking yesterday in terms of potential/evolution but it doesn't have much support. But then again, not one model has support from another. Ahh the fun of convective forecasting
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lol
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40's are normal for April?
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oh come on are you kidding me? Got the marginal risk but got cutoff right at the border
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The 18z HRRR does have a line moving through late PM. Might be dependent on exactly how much heating there is. The overall forcing looks pretty weak but it does look like a weak boundary will be sliding through...could be enough to get things going. Looks better north though
