weatherwiz

And Pats TDs

Guessing snowfall totals outside of the shoreline generally in the 1-2” range…with some locally higher amounts? Definitely more than I anticipated, even up north near me. Up to a coating bad call for inland.

Highway wasn’t terrible but saw two separate accidents on route 8 that looked like spin outs. One was on the southbound side and the other on the north bound side…probably even a few miles from each other. Definitely more snow headed through Seymour and in Ansonia than along 84. Beautiful scenery, everything caked in snow

Meeting a few friend for brunch at Copper City Bar and Grill

Eclipsed 1” here! Have to drive to Ansonia so hopefully highways aren’t bad

If we could reel off like 5-6 events like this in a months stretch we’d be good

Light snow falling. Just measured right around 3/4” so 0.8”

Yup, we went to school together! One of my best friends, great dude

The fluff factor has certainly been in the back of my mind too and I would generally go higher because of that, however, when looking at soundings, I am just not seeing much in the way of lift…and in order for us to maximize the ratio potential, we need lift!!

But glad snow on the shore isn't starting until overnight. Have to make a 2+ hour trip to Stamford from Springfield right now

We shall see. Watch there be a swath of totals ranging 6-8" from NJ across LI maybe even southern RI and SE MA and then some screw north of that. But there is only so much room north the fronto banding can get. These bumps north in QPF are models likely honing in on the fact that these bands usually end up a bit north than initially advertised so while bumping north with the max QPF, there is a whole shift north in the QPF field with no account for subsidence that would have to occur. If air is rising somewhere it needs to sink somewhere else at an equal intensity. We may see the immediate shoreline get into the heavier banding but that just means more of a struggle north of there

Correct, I think that is going to be a huge player here. Outside of that heavier banding signal, it's really difficult to find much in the way of lift. It just seems really weak to me, plus the concerns with subsidence. The stronger that fronto band ends up being, the greater the likelihood for subsidence north of it. I think everyone is going to see light snow, but north of the shoreline it's not going to amount to any more than a coating. There may be some localized 1'' amounts because there might be some brief, heavier pockets of lift moving through but I think its just a very steady light snow but very small flakes. The duration of the snow too will be difficult to really get widespread 1" totals north of the shoreline.

This looks very meh outside of the immediate CT shoreline, southern RI, and SE MA

flurries falling

Getting flurries