weatherwiz

General line expanded north!!!!

That happened to me once I think in 2008. We were having a morning severe event (I think it was the day of the Swanzey, NH F2. I stayed up for like 2 days in a row excited for that morning and fell asleep as things were starting and I missed 1"+ hail at my house

I don't know if any of us can go that long without seeing the SREFs

Ahhh yes I see it now.

My initial thought was something along those lines but the soundings are absolutely nuts. Kind of reminds me of 2013 when we were seeing radar returns like that but it was all snow

This is absolutely disgusting on the Cape. That's 40+ dbz

ka-boom

the banding

I still think the models are breaking that down a bit too quickly

Gotta show some love to the WSSI

Talk dirty to me and whisper slowly next to me ear

Exactly!! I absolutely believe there will be some 4"+ per hour rates

Ultimately, I would really like to start seeing more signals for a pivot and maintaining of this intense fronto to really get excited and hopeful for widespread 18-24" but its more a quick south to north push and then it kind of fizzles. I think though there are signals which argue for that to occur and I wouldn't totally expect models to accurately handle this right now. But anyways...it is going to be absolutely epic for some hours. 18z NAM 18z GFS

This. Gotta be very careful with using QPF charts to diagnose banding. Intuitively it makes sense but this is where you have to look at mid-levels, how they're evolving, and how they're tracking. And with this that is part of why I think 18z GFS QPF is a bit underdone

I'm greedy and want/hoping for 2 feet even though I'm not getting it. Getting 2 feet would get me ~40" from 100 and then hopefully cut that to 20" end of the week