OceanStWx

I definitely don't take it as a criticism, and actually sometimes I come here because I can't check every P&C for accuracy and consistency. I like to say we're way more akin to a graphic designer than how these guys did things.

You're mostly right. Sometimes it a broad brushed range over a larger area. But BTV does a better job than most at talking about details down to specific areas of the mountains. I'm actually trying to get better at drilling down to those finer geographical points in my discussions, but it's hard to put that kind of detail into the forecast and still have time to get it out. You could spend all day crafting a perfect forecast for Stowe, Bretton Woods, or Newfound Lake, but those are all just one grid point of thousands.

Is that a request? I'm on long term, so I can give you all rain. It's actually surprisingly easy to keep snow in the forecast. Most of our weather type tools allow some snow up to 37 degrees. We're not ready for full automation yet, you have to be pretty intentional about what you're trying to put into the grids to make it to the P&C. The newer folks are still learning that.

Yeah threw a 24" Ariens on the Home Depot card with no interest for 12 months when we moved into our house and paid it off in a year for less than $70 a month.

That was the year you took back all Bryce's Christmas presents.

I don't know the v16 had a little NorLun tickling his fanny at 312 hours yesterday.

I don't know why it's like pulling teeth but it is, even if it's a silly obvious mistake missed in QC like precip getting put in the snow column.

If you never update the obs at NCEI did it ever happen?

That's one way to put it. BDL reported 38 inches on the ground on 1/13 and a T by 1/20 after temps near 60 and and 1-1.5 inches of rain. That's about as good as thaw as you can get.

Sun angle starting to get harsh.

Remember the rule, snow starts sooner than you think but so does the sleet.

That's what happens. If you don't keep up on it your hopes and dreams will end up frozen to the driveway.

Bufkit is spitting out some higher numbers (~3") but it's not the best look from the 12z. Most of the lift is below the DGZ. Even though I think it'll thump for a couple of hours here, that's probably not going to be better than 10:1, so a couple inches and then mixy. Not totally sold on the backside snows either. Good lift in the DGZ, but who knows what the temps will be by then. Interior may be able to score some bonus out of it though.

I'll pass on the 0.5" of slop here.

Get out there and shovel your dreams!

With that view, doing naked laps through those trees?

It's also partly due to the area over which the advisory is in place. It averages the amounts over all the zones, including the CT valley, etc. Southern Coos itself would read a higher average than 3-5 for sure. I probably have your backyard somewhere around 5.5" give or take a grid box.

That day shift sucks.

Probably going to stay that way for a bit. We're looking at 3 days until there is a coherent GEFS signal for what this system will be sensitive to. It looks like it will be tied to the wake of the weekend system, not surprisingly. If we allow heights to rise more quickly behind this weekend, there is a better chance we don't whiff something on the 4th like the Ukie hints at.

Just close the blinds and pretend it happens.

Brutal.

Not unless someone drives their truck into a telephone pole in a fit of rage.

If you look at mid level temps I thinks this shows up pretty clearly. While not cold, the above freezing mid level air does get swept out to sea in the wake of the weekend system. It at least allows us to start from a place of temp profiles supportive for snow, vs needing to cool the entire air mass via lifting/evaporation.

Dry slot looks like it is going to sneak in pretty fast too. So as things currently stand it doesn't strike me as one of those overperforming SWFEs.