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weathertree4u

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Everything posted by weathertree4u

  1. weathertree4u
    Looks good, I wholeheartedly agree but we have had issues translating the long range into the short range lately, seems to always change - although I can say that doesnt not look like we will be in an extremely warm pattern going forward as previous which is always good too see if for nothing else to slow some of the plants down.
  2. weathertree4u
    Was hoping that was the case and that by posting that I could get a translation, thank you! Just an awful waste to see all the southern storms and not have enough cold air; if the last run of the GFS is to be believed, Jacksonville Florida could get a good storm!
  3. weathertree4u
    I gather from the previous postings of charts, diagrams and videos that the PV is not expected to assist any with cold air going forward, the missing ingredient to all of these great southern systems, really bites.
  4. weathertree4u
    At the least it is different from last years endless warm. I am sure next year will be different too!
  5. weathertree4u
    Great thanks!
  6. weathertree4u
    Nice in what way?
  7. weathertree4u
    Yep, seems like last year it was similar in a way in that the real cold was locked into the upper midwest, this year, just cannot get cold to amount to anything to come down for any length of time into the continental us or at least it seems.
  8. weathertree4u
    Middle TN gets the shaft on that run also, what else is new? Too bad it will not be a totally different solution the next time the model runs!
  9. weathertree4u
    I am right there with you; seems like it is always out in the long range, then when we get to that period in the long range, it turns out to be rain; so, for me, I appreciate all the time everyone spends digging into the data but just seems like it is always changing.
  10. weathertree4u
    Could February make us forget about the horrors of December and January?
  11. weathertree4u
    Exactly! It will likely all look different with the noon runs!
  12. weathertree4u
    Yea, I agree, yet, the wild swings in the models make me real nervous to get on board.
  13. weathertree4u
    Interesting
  14. weathertree4u
    So are the models just seeing the warm up as more muted now or are they still in process of ingesting data? I honestly think that we will get a storm similar to today. For example, no one around here was really saying too much about flurries most of the day, granted, it is not sticking too well but no one forecasted there to be snow in the air most of the day today as it has been either.
  15. weathertree4u
    Well, in my opinion, it is close enough to the same pattern to categorize it as the same, but splitting hairs at this point; I too am still hopeful that can pull something off but modeling does not provide much to be hopeful for honesty and like you stated yesterday, once we reach the third week of February, essentially, we are done with any appreciable winter weather. Just anxious to see ultra long range to see if there is any guidance that might suggest next year could be a different year with regards to overall winter patterns. The west has had several consecutive very good years, which have essentially erased the California drought but then have a contributing influence on the eventual fire season being rough as a result of all the growth. Anyway, rambled on more than usual lol
  16. weathertree4u
    Same occurring in the TN Valley area - north of Nashville here - looks like the same pattern to continue - got to break this pattern of poor winters - this is like the third one in a row where winter is MIA
  17. weathertree4u
    Looks like we are headed back to the same pattern after a brief pause first of the week; cold, warm up, rain, then cold again. As long as the same players on the field - SER, craziness to expect the plays to be different.
  18. weathertree4u
    Lol goodness well eventually this multi year winter crap pattern will break, i assume.
  19. weathertree4u
    More persistence of same pattern
  20. weathertree4u
    Which is not good I gather
  21. weathertree4u
    Interesting
  22. weathertree4u
    In reality, I think all of us are aware of the brief window compared to other areas of the county that we have for Winter in the Upper South, at least we are not pulling our hair out like members in some other forums, will not specifically mention them by name. My point is, I know for myself, I get my fix with about one winter storm, after that, I am good. I keep hoping for a winter that is a repeat of childhood winters of the 1970's - perhaps the erupting volcano in the tropics can make that happen for next year - but soon we will be turning the page anyway, so I will take what I can get and at least we have something to track, whether the pattern lasts or not, allot more fun than this time last year!
  23. weathertree4u
    Paint me surprised lol
  24. weathertree4u
    The model is just so volatile and variable with its solutions; we discuss it every year; not sure why we use it for forecasting honestly.
  25. weathertree4u
    Seems like we will have the needed cold in the LR but the moisture shuts off almost completely, such a strange pattern.
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