WNC_Fort
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Everything posted by WNC_Fort
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I know one thing for sure after this last week. Models can’t be trusted for anything other than a threat detection more than 3 days out. Heck, we’re under 3 days and it’s still a bit up in the air. Other lesson learned. Don’t listen to folks saying that there’s “no way that low can cut up through that strong high pressure”.
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Well. We’re missing this one to the north so can’t wait to miss the one next week to our south and east
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There’s barely any precip in the foothills through Sunday on the NAM
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It’s comical at this point the difference between the Euro and GFS. Our two leading models are hundreds of miles apart 3 days out?
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It is funny how much a small tweak here or there can be the difference from big snowstorm or apocalyptic ice
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I did have a brief convo with a ATMS professor at UNCA about the warmer climate and how the Gulf being warmer than it was 30 years ago could be a big contributor to these small differences
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Little rant: We have a -NAO. Strong high pressure. Plenty of moisture for once. Plenty of cold air. And we can’t snow? It’s just so frustrating to see what could have/should have been.
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Maybe we can at least say a Winter Storm Watch and likelihood of a warning is an improvement over the last few years. Used to be a few advisories every year and 1 or 2 warning level events. But, it’s been so long.
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What will be the vibes for the group after this weekend? Ready for spring?
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Lol. A quick glance at the NAM and you’d wonder if any precip was even gonna fall here this weekend
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Jan 2022? That’s the last one for most of us. Guess a few of us have seen a flake or a dusting here or there. But I know it’s tough rn living in the upstate or lower elevations of wnc
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You as well. I guess the whole foothill crowd. The hype was so real Sunday-Tuesday. Everything was going right. Operational models. Ensembles. Slight fluctuations but it was locked in.
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Between you, me, and @wncsnow. I just don’t know how we can get or feel any lower.
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Do we know for certain when the hurricane hunter data is getting ingested into the modeling?
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Yea. There’s always a storm that somehow misses the upstate and wnc foothills. 4 years running.
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I’m legit gutted
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Someone should challenge him about this on the other forum that he posts on
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Yea, 50-75 mile shifts sure. But this is hundreds of miles. A couple days out. Atlanta is now gonna be in the 60s on Sunday?
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That’s what I don’t understand. This whole time everyone (and I mean trusted Mets on this forum and across the region) talked about the high pressure and the inability of a system to cut into it. What happened there?
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Just total capitulation. Southeast and especially NC Mets are going to get major heat from the public. I think there’s several of the trusted posters on both main weather forums that helped contribute to the level of confidence. This is an all time rug pull.
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I knew Met would reveal his hatred for us eventually!
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Guys if this doesn’t pan out. I’m going to have to take a long break.
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What’s your read on the drastic change? High pressure change? Just small tweaks little to big changes downstream?
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We can’t win for anything. A real roller-coaster between the GFS and Euro. But, my real question is what happened to the high pressure and the locked in cold air?
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But, I thought Webb and Dr. Wall said there’d be no way for a move north?
