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Everything posted by Sn0waddict
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That track looks good to me. Similar to the NAM.
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It practically touches Long Beach island as well. Most NW model I have seen. Also has a wild coastal front.
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CMC not surprisingly looks similar to the RGEM, they are the most NW of any the models at the moment.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Not Mt Tolland approved. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It’s in the same spot, and same strength really. It’s drops over a foot in western ct. Cant say I see any issues. -
I’m sure it’s a terrible model but the 0z WRF-NMM is what this board should be rooting for.
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3k is better too, which has been the warmest model to date. A few hours of sleet but it then crashes at hr 33
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Wow much better for coastal ct and Hudson valley. Maybe an hour of sleet at the most and no dry slot.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
A bad weather model. -
Quite the dry slot on the HERPES. Sheesh
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1 mb stronger and a hair East. Looks pretty identical to 12z.
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Practically identical at the surface at Hr 36 to 12z. Next panel is the most important one though.
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Cave to what? There still doesn’t seem to be uniform agreement across the board.
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NAM looks a little less amped up to me.. will see how it translates but it would be great if it moved more towards euro type solution.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Difference appears to be a warm tongue at 700mb on the 3k vs the GFS. We don’t even sniff sleet here on the GFS despite it having a similar low position as the NAM. My guess is unfortunately that the 3k would be better at picking up stuff like this, but perhaps it is overaggressive with it.. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
3k is a few hours of snow and then sleet then a dry spot despite having a further south surface track than 6z. This hobby sucks. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Pretty much every model now has a dry slot in CT after a initial thump. Makes sense honestly, just hope to keep the sleet down into LI. Edit: though based on the map above who cares if we dry slot that initial thump would be awesome. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Seems like things are just becoming more unclear now not less. Dryslots, suppression, mixing all a possibility still. No bueno. -
Icon and RGEM seemed to go north a bit. Would rather not have that happen. Will see if it’s a trend or a fluke.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I wonder what Ryan is thinking. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
CMC looks pretty much the same as 0z, maybe tucked just a slight bit more but same trajectory besides that.