Ralph Wiggum
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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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That's alright, I'm sure next winter we will be in a drought and bitterly cold.
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Windy, cold,and bone dry. Looking forward, make a thread.
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https://www.foxnews.com/world/storm-ciara-hurricane-force-winds-uk-europe-travel-impacts
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Not sure if it has already been said or not but congrats old Mexico. Could have more seasonal snow than DC and PHL combined verbatim lol.
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And kudos to you for doing all of the research back in Dec on the pattern that was developing and historically where it would probably head. Your facts were easy to read and comprehend and while many didnt want to hear it you were transparent in suggesting that historically once those Pac looks showed up and lasted a specific amount of time there really was little hope of getting out of it. Well played sir....I thank you for your efforts and research.
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You do have quite an eloquent way of saying "the recurring pattern and themes this winter really suck and the late week system look like much of the same shiit"
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Nice to see Giroux hit a milestone tonight.
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Flyers look good.
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Road trip!!!!
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I thought you were giving it until Tuesday because there were too many moving parts. You already tossed in the towel after only 18.hrs?
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Usually take 7-10 days minimum to rebuild cold in that domain....another 5-7 days to transport it south. So maybe early March?
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What do we say? Get the cold established first then take our chances with disturbances moving across.
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Yep. I must agree also. Probably wont work out....again....but nothing else to talk about weather wise tbh
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I would still be skeptical for your region. If it trends badly down here and better 40n I will take future discussion to the other sub so it wont appear as trolling which is not my intent. Plenty of time for all of us here to trend positive (or negative).
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Leave us alone for 10 minutes please. This model solution needs a little more than a hug. Thanks.
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ICON at 12z is a SECS for our area for Valentines Day. Not saying its right....it likely isnt. But let's try this one more time.
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Tracking Convection Chances- Better Odds then a Winter SECS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Albedoman's topic in Philadelphia Region
My bad, I thought you opened this thread regarding t-storm chances. Dont take it so personal man, I'm not challenging you. It just underperformed up this way. -
ICON is a crusher 40 N
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I dont see the NS feature getting out front or the ss feature slowing. More confluence over the NE is a benefit tho. I guess we grasp at any positive we can find.
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Tracking Convection Chances- Better Odds then a Winter SECS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Albedoman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Convection failed in the region. No thunder, no lightning. Only wind gusts with the front and a 90 second downpour. At least it snowed after the front cleared up this way. -
Only 16 days out. La la lock it up.
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Weenie rule #197....precip falls at night with good rates will overcome 2m temps in the upper 30s.
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Um, ukmet is cold smoke bro. Classic setup actually. Eta: only thing I dont particularly like is the location of the 850 low...but it's a week out.
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CMC is the lone bright spot so I'm hugging the hell out of it tonight and shutting my eyes for the night before the euro comes along and, well, you know.
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Moot point to discuss r/s lines at this range but does that model seem off to anyone else? 850s are very marginal and the 540 line is N of most of us .
