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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Still snowing 7am Saturday on the CRAS. Qpf and old school p type approach close to 12" here.
  2. My bar is 8-12" with this one so I'm not feeling it.
  3. https://www.woweather.com/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=us&MENU=0000000000&CONT=namk&MODELL=nogaps&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=rsum&HH=6&ARCHIV=0&PANEL=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD= Use thicknesses and 850s. Old school ptype deterministic approach.
  4. Still snowing Saturday AM on the NAVGEM
  5. You cant just cherry pick the snowmaps with the hottest pinks to fit an agenda. Like Wentz said, we have time...30 hours....but this didn't just tick the wrong way, we saw some large jumps at 0z so far headed the wrong direction. Less juice, less waa, coastal destroys thermals.
  6. RGEM has more qpf on Friday into early Sat than Thursday. Smh
  7. Meh, N trend, drying trend, failing trend....it all equals less snow.
  8. I seriously loathe this hobby at times.
  9. Slipping away. Told u 0z would start the trend.
  10. 3k is 3 hrs minimum of 1-3"/hr thump snows
  11. 0z tonight latest. It has been about 30-36 hrs out all season.
  12. Speaking of the CRAS it is a slightly longer duration version of the RGEM...snow showers still falling early Saturday AM
  13. I was using snow depth maps where the s edge cut back slightly. I guess qpf max ticked s so neither of us is wrong depending on how u r looking at it.
  14. LV the hits keep on coming. This is your winter....enjoy!
  15. Actually vs 6z that ticked N and we are already seeing warmer low levels edging more N on some guidance. We know what to expect based on seasonal trends. This will be no different. Models likely overcompensated and are now going to begin adjusting N. Still think interior SE PA is a good spot for a hefty thump before flipping.
  16. Exactly. And since when is 1 model run considered a trend? I thought it was usually 3 consecutive....in which case the NAM is trending better as lead time lessens.
  17. Was in an MIRC chat with Ian, Randy may have been there, Marcus, Jerry from the NE forum and others...1998ish. I was at college class. Came home and popped on and asked. They never let me live it down. Then asked again tongue in cheek years later on eastern and that was all she wrote.
  18. Almost 25 years ago and you guys still don't let me ever live that one down. Sorry I ever asked.
  19. Para is a 2 parter.....waa thump then the coastal. Still snowing 7am Friday AM. Wow.
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