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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Its funny...laugh all u want but if this ends up a longer duration into Friday night after the thump Thurs, the CRAS will have scored a huge coup sniffing that signal out over 30 hrs ago.
  2. @Newman either doesn't like this threat or something happened. Odd not to see more input from him.
  3. Hug the CRAS then lol. 8" from the thump and then mix ending as snow with ~4" additional Friday into Sat.
  4. Still snowing 7am Saturday on the CRAS. Qpf and old school p type approach close to 12" here.
  5. My bar is 8-12" with this one so I'm not feeling it.
  6. https://www.woweather.com/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=us&MENU=0000000000&CONT=namk&MODELL=nogaps&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=rsum&HH=6&ARCHIV=0&PANEL=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD= Use thicknesses and 850s. Old school ptype deterministic approach.
  7. Still snowing Saturday AM on the NAVGEM
  8. You cant just cherry pick the snowmaps with the hottest pinks to fit an agenda. Like Wentz said, we have time...30 hours....but this didn't just tick the wrong way, we saw some large jumps at 0z so far headed the wrong direction. Less juice, less waa, coastal destroys thermals.
  9. RGEM has more qpf on Friday into early Sat than Thursday. Smh
  10. Meh, N trend, drying trend, failing trend....it all equals less snow.
  11. I seriously loathe this hobby at times.
  12. Slipping away. Told u 0z would start the trend.
  13. 3k is 3 hrs minimum of 1-3"/hr thump snows
  14. 0z tonight latest. It has been about 30-36 hrs out all season.
  15. Speaking of the CRAS it is a slightly longer duration version of the RGEM...snow showers still falling early Saturday AM
  16. I was using snow depth maps where the s edge cut back slightly. I guess qpf max ticked s so neither of us is wrong depending on how u r looking at it.
  17. LV the hits keep on coming. This is your winter....enjoy!
  18. Actually vs 6z that ticked N and we are already seeing warmer low levels edging more N on some guidance. We know what to expect based on seasonal trends. This will be no different. Models likely overcompensated and are now going to begin adjusting N. Still think interior SE PA is a good spot for a hefty thump before flipping.
  19. Exactly. And since when is 1 model run considered a trend? I thought it was usually 3 consecutive....in which case the NAM is trending better as lead time lessens.
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