Ralph Wiggum

Ai GFS is a potential 2 wave long duration system. Yes, went south but still honking for a major event.

AI is wayyy south. Suppression is a very major concern.

That piece, the press of the PV and confluence, location/strength of hp. See @SnowenOutThere post above. He did a great job breaking it down.

Never heard of the guy. Sounds like a real clown. On a wx note, the rgem at 84 is really trying to bury our s/w in the Baja.

Seems crazy to try and extrapolate the NAM at range, but if we are being honest verbatim, the ull is hugging the Southern Cali coastline crawling along on a trajectory to the baja. It also looks uber wound up. How you can tell that would be a great run, Im not quite sure.

Alot depends on the ull out over the baja. Some models move it out quickly in 1 piece ans phase it, others are slower and eject it in waves.

One trend past 24 hrs i do like, the strong 1052 arctic hp isnt showing nearly that strength and is ~1044mb highest i could find across guidance at 12z. Not surprising that it probably won't be as strong as depicted 6 days out.

Still an uneasy feeling for our sub forum with neither ens means budging whatsoever. Maybe an ass hair, but nothing that would make me think the AI/CMC/Ukie solutions hold water. The means are lock-step with each other right now. Very steady. Haven't seen that level of agreement in a long time.

Euro ticked N. Decent signal.

Remember, euro generally doesnt make massive leaps in 1 run. This is a perfect spot for you folks in the Mid Atl rn.

Slp actually a fair.amt.N vs 6z

The Feb 1 storm on the euro ai is a clean old fashioned straight up Miller a bomb

WTF

Who drugged the euro ai with ecstasy? Dear lord! Back to back to back! Im off to goon....