Ralph Wiggum

Getting a weird vibe here that spots that messed out yesterday cash in next weekend and vice versa ie southeastern zones in this sub

Past storm was a different setup synoptically tho wasnt it? I am not hedging any bets regardless.

In an fairness the window i was watching was 27-29, the clipper i thought would dive and bomb at the coast. Which it does but too late for any effects but that does become our 50/50 for the weekend, so there's that.

Funny thing is, and I remember because I posted the image about 8 days ago, models were showing a clear Miller A for the same time frame. Kind of got muted for a bit after, but now obviously is showing up again. If any of the big deterministic guidance besides the euro jumps on board today, this place is going to erupt.

6z is a vertically stacked monster reminiscent of Jan.25, 2000. Below are the 250, 500, 700, 850 maps valid 1am feb 1. Verbatim a big hit especially interior. Dry slot would assuredly push into the metros as the system occludes, again jan.25, 2000ish. Alas, plenty of time to go for better or worse. There is plenty that could go wrong here. Gotta run.

Thats a vertically stacked system at 6z or very close. Someone mentioned jan 25, 2000. I cant unsee it.

Euro AI:

Euro AI has been on fire at this range (4-6 days). I would lean towards that.

That separation of 50/50 and better positioning of h5 ull is drool worthy. Nao ridge and pna arent too shabby either.

Eps for Feb 1:

7.8" snow/2.7" sleet 30.4" on the winter

I like that moisture near the TV associated with the closed ull. That would probably be a capture on the next frame and slp either stalling on the coast or drifting NNE.

I did exactly that. Was making sure the sleet amount (2.7")is totaled 1:1 as snow (2.7"). Still sleeting and another batch still to roll thru later.

Coastal low finally took over. A little too late. 1005mb vs 1008mb in OV

So when we are adding sleet to our totals for the day, do you just measure the depth 1:1?