Ralph Wiggum

AI guidance im told have good verification scores at this range. This is right now at day 6 considered their wheelhouse. I am still concerned about suppression in this pattern but having some reliable guidance continue to move North makes me feel a little bit better. I will say im my experience, 90% or more of the time, these high pressures or extreme cold tend to be overdone and things in general come North as we approach game time. This may be the 1 out of the 10 times though...so Im playing it cautious wrt my expectations.

Ensembles are North and the AI models are way North. AIFS is a massive hit here and the AIGFS is a crippling ice storm respectively:

Are we looking at the same cmc? Because I see an arctic fropa

G-nite.

Tasty beer from a good local brewery 20 mins from my home. Cheers!

Thats funny, my wife says the same thing to me every now and again.

Finally pulling away. Looks like 4" on the nose for today. The last hour was the heaviest of the day close to 1"/hr rates. Very light pixie dust now. 27F. Now we turn our eyes to the late week threat. Eta: 4" yesterday + 4" today for an 8" snowfall weekend brings Ivyland to 19.9" for the season.

Typo'd earlier...now up to 3.25" on the day. Still coming down. Snowman inflatable caved under the weight of the snow....hes down.

Is this a new release from OH? Haven't seen this up here.

Respect to your avatar sir!

For none of the areas you mentioned

I have that in the cellar too. Im on vaca starting 2pm today, so I will bust that out for an ultra happy, happy hour this week

My only knock on this one, you can taste the alcohol. I mean, at 12% guess it gets kind of hard to mask. But I dont mind it. Flavor is good. This one is 2 years aged in the cellar. When I first had it, it was mega sweet. Rounded out nicely with some aging.

Its like time traveling back to my youth. I will be disappointed if we get another good pattern (Jan 24-Feb 3ish) that doesnt produce. But thus far we have had a solid season. Chances are, we arent done yet.

Coming down at a pretty good clip right now. Temp hovering around freezing. Bristol Road caved again. Rough guess 3/4"/hr rate.