yoda

12z RGEM seems slower then the 12z NAM twins

Oh... yes the favored areas to get the most and the such... but a bit of a surprise to see URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 946 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2024 MDZ001-501-VAZ503-504-507-WVZ050-055-501>506-152300- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0005.240217T0000Z-240217T1200Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Western Highland- Eastern Highland-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-Hardy- Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 946 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches are possible with localized amounts up to 8 inches possible along the higher western facing slopes of the Allegheny Front. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, northwest and western Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

My bar is 2". But yeah... 1-3 sounds good and let the chips fall where they may on anything more

You aren't just staying up Friday night?

This seems like one of those rare systems that it comes in hot, rakes for like 4 to 6 hours, and then is gone, no?

Tasty ETA: the snowfall map i posterld is 10:1 SLR... snowfan's is the Kuchera

6z euro total qpf for the event

That's Kuchera... maybe you are 10:1?

12z UKIE FWIW

Anybody else see the new preview for the movie Twisters coming in July? Looks meh

12z CMC not really enthused still

EPS > Euro

12z GFS

We take... I think as long as we set our goal as 1-3, we will do fine

I'll let @stormtracker do the GFS

12z ICON also going to be slightly drier, but nudged south looking at the QPF field QPF and 10:1 snow map posted below. I did a local area zoom in, so it's total qpf through 78.

12z RGEM, FWIW, was slightly drier and a tad north compared to 6z. Still decent for a 1-3/2-4 though

A nice 1-3/2-4 Friday night would be nice. Yeah, we would like more and it will probably melt quickly Saturday afternoon... but any snow is good to see. Just cover everything.

12z UKIE is a miss south... no precip for many... pretty weak too

What dates am I looking at for his storm?

12z CMC is further south, but much weaker

Very similar to 12z ICON