yoda

New Severe Thunderstorm Watch up for just about all of AR and N LA until 11 PM CDT

Hmmm... LWX keeps upgrading the Wind Advisory to HWW for more and more counties... first it was St. Marys and Calvert at 430ish... just now updated again and now includes PG/Charles/King George VA/AA counties ETA: This was reason why at 430 St. Mary's and Calvert were added to HWW per the AFD:

Mesoscale Discussion 0364 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0527 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020 Areas affected...southeastern Louisiana and far southern Mississippi Concerning...Tornado Watch 107... Valid 122227Z - 122330Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 107 continues. SUMMARY...Cells developing near Ascension, Livingston, and Assumption Parishes are expected to become supercellular and potentially tornadic over time. DISCUSSION...Radar/satellite imagery indicates continued robust growth in convection across Ascension, Livingston, and Assumption Parishes in southeastern Louisiana. These storms have successfully breached the cap and are exhibiting cellular storm mode in an environment characterized by strong low-level shear (40 kt 0-1km), strong deep shear (60-65 kt 0-6km) and moderate to strong instability (2000+ MLCAPE) amidst 70-75F dewpoints and near 7 deg C lapse rates aloft. Given the environment, the storms are expected to acquire rotation and eventually pose a risk of all hazards, including strong tornadoes. ..Cook/Hart.. 04/12/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...

sorry, what do you mean by "safe" spot?

New MCD is not good for SE LA into MS

TE warning in MS (Jasper/Smith/Covington counties) mentions that the tornado is moving NE at 50mph... geez

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Jackson MS 517 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020 MSC031-061-067-129-122300- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200412T2300Z/ Jasper MS-Smith MS-Covington MS-Jones MS- 517 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020 ...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA... ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN JASPER...SOUTHEASTERN SMITH...NORTHERN COVINGTON AND NORTHWESTERN JONES COUNTIES... At 516 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located near Collins, moving northeast at 55 mph. TORNADO EMERGENCY for locations in the warned area. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Deadly tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. The tornado will be near... Taylorsville and Hebron around 530 PM CDT. Stringer, Vernon and Moss around 545 PM CDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Soso.

80/70 tor probs in the new TOR watch for AL/TN... pretty beefy probs there

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 109 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 320 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern and central Alabama Far southern Middle Tennessee * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of severe thunderstorms will spread east-northeast from Mississippi through this evening. Greatest tornado threat will exist across west-central to north-central portions of Alabama into early evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles northwest of Tuscaloosa AL to 30 miles east northeast of Gadsden AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline u

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 109 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 320 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern and central Alabama Far southern Middle Tennessee * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of severe thunderstorms will spread east-northeast from Mississippi through this evening. Greatest tornado threat will exist across west-central to north-central portions of Alabama into early evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles northwest of Tuscaloosa AL to 30 miles east northeast of Gadsden AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline u

Perhaps, but 45% hatched wind is also moderate risk

Just issued as regular tor watch

Will it be a regular or PDS TOR is my question

Impressive... most impressive

Seems like LWX is going for it in afternoon disco

Its probably like 20 miles S of me lol... but I would expect it to come north more tomorrow tbh. But that would depend on what goes on in the SE and western Carolinas tonight

10% hatched tor is now literally just south of DC metro... EZF is included

New Day 2 is out... ENH reaches up to around EZF... 10% hatched TOR includes CHO/RIC and is also just south of EZF