yoda

BULLETIN Subtropical Depression Four Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042020 500 PM AST Mon Jun 22 2020 ...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE U.S. EAST COAST... ...FORECAST TO MOVE AWAY FROM LAND... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.2N 65.7W ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM SE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS ABOUT 455 MI...730 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression Four was located near latitude 38.2 North, longitude 65.7 West. The subtropical depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is forecast to continue through tonight. A motion toward the northeast is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible tonight and early Tuesday, and the subtropical depression could briefly become a subtropical storm. Slow weakening is expected to begin by Tuesday afternoon or evening. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Not even outlooked for Tuesday per new SPC OTLK for day 2... so I guess there is a disconnect there 0/5/5 for Day 1 0600 SPC OTLK

I was about to ask why no one posted about the AFD lol

Better turn on the sprinklers

Pouring here now with some t&l

Pretty decent storm just north of Manassas heading north into western Fairfax county per radarscope... can hear the thunder here

It's not as above normal as say the areas around the lower Carribbean or just off SE coast... besides the small area near the Big Bend of FL

Yes, Game 1 was rescheduled for the next day -- from October 9th to October 10th https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1979_World_Series

You live in SNE... there is no being slapped with D's up there in your face... you'll have to bend over if you want one

Never heard of that before... hope you are feeling better

I know technically it doesn't say Mid Atlantic in the SPC text for the SPC 4-8 day OTLK... but this could be promising and maybe what was being picked up on as @Kmlwx and @high risk posted about above:

We need to have a zoom meeting/cooking class with @Mrs.J... everything she cooks and makes both looks and sounds fantastic Of course we can add others as well who cook well... which is not me lol

See a good amount of recurve and Caribbean cruisers if that is to be believed... not much action in GOM or around the islands

Over a foot of snow possible... in mid June URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Missoula MT 1049 AM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020 MTZ007-170000- /O.NEW.KMSO.WS.A.0007.200617T0000Z-200617T1800Z/ Butte/Blackfoot Region- 1049 AM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow possible. For elevations 5000 feet and higher: total snow accumulations of up to 8 inches possible. Locally higher amounts of 12 to 15 inches possible in the highest terrain (above roughly 6500 feet). * WHERE...Butte, Georgetown Lake, Highway 12 Garrison to Elliston, Homestake Pass, and MacDonald Pass. * WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Backcountry conditions could become difficult, if not dangerous, during this time.

Lulz URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Great Falls MT 117 PM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020 MTZ008-014-015-052-055-161200- /O.NEW.KTFX.WS.A.0007.200617T0000Z-200617T1800Z/ Beaverhead-Central and Southern Lewis and Clark-Madison-Jefferson- Gallatin- Including Big Hole Pass, Wisdom, Monida Pass, Virginia City, Boulder, Boulder Hill, Elk Park Pass, Homestake Pass, and Targhee Pass 117 PM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING ABOVE 5000 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible above 5000 feet. Total snow accumulations of up to 8 inches. Locally higher amounts exceeding 12 inches are possible above 7500 feet. * WHERE...Elevations above 5000 feet in Beaverhead, Central and Southern Lewis and Clark, Madison, Jefferson, and Gallatin Counties. * WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult. Hazardous backcountry conditions. The weight of the snow on branches with foliage could cause them to break. * Note...This Winter Storm Watch does not include the cities of Bozeman, Ennis, Dillon, or Helena.

I'm sure you are enjoying it

Nice disco about early next week from this afternoon's LWX AFD... but I don't remember the May 18th pattern off the top of my head... will have to go back and look it up:

Thanks Ji

00z CMC similar... but not to the extent of the GFS with that megaband lol... still, 2 to 4 inches of rain

00z GFS continues with a wet week upcoming with potential flooding... through next Tuesday night... 6 to what looks like 10 inches for parts of N VA and C MD lol

Tree damage in Monrovia, MD per LWX SWS

New STW for Carroll and East Central Frederick and NW Baltimore counties till 11:15 pm

Don't see much on base velocity on radarscope

Bel Air has reported wind damage of trees blown down onto power lines per SWS