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PDS TOR warning issued for McIntosh county in GA... confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado located over Thalmann

New day 2 is ENH... disco does mention and discuss the model uncertainty... but does have a 10% hatched tor

New day 1 out.... 10% hatched tor also looks a lil bit east of DFW, no? 30% hatched hail though

Understood... LWX in their afternoon AFD seems to think that the winds will die down some tonight... but forecast lows are at freezing anyway... so its probably why our freeze warning is from 2am to 8am

NWS Mount Holly says naso fast lol URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 334 PM EDT Tue Apr 21 2020 DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-221000- /O.EXA.KPHI.FZ.W.0004.200422T0600Z-200422T1200Z/ Kent-Inland Sussex-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline- Including the cities of Dover, Georgetown, Chestertown, Centreville, Easton, and Denton 334 PM EDT Tue Apr 21 2020 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as the upper 20s and lower 30s are expected. * WHERE...Northeast Maryland. Central and southern Delaware. * WHEN...From 2:00 AM until 8:00 AM Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Freezing conditions could kill sensitive plants. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

Does @C.A.P.E. have another freeze warning for tonight?

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER ALABAMA...GEORGIA...AND NORTHERN FLORIDA INCLUDING THE PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Significant severe storms are expected over parts of the Southeast on Thursday, including the potential for strong tornadoes. ...Synopsis... A positive-tilt upper trough with 70-80 kt midlevel speed max will move from the lower MS Valley Thursday morning toward the Appalachians by 00Z, with a 50-60 kt low-level jet core shifting from AL to the Mid Atlantic during the day. At the surface, low pressure will move from northeast AR into KY through 00Z, and toward the Delmarva by 12Z Friday. A dryline will extend southwestward from the low, and will move across AL, MS and LA during the peak heating hours. East of this boundary, 65-70 F dewpoints will be common, beneath cooling temperatures aloft. Models differ with how quickly the dryline will move, and early day storms may dictate where the quasi-stationary warm front sets up latitudinally. Regardless, the warm sector will become very unstable, with shear favoring tornadic supercells along the dryline and warm front/outflow boundary. At this time, it appears the bulk of the activity will occur over AL, GA, and the FL Panhandle into northern FL. The NAM solution, if taken literally, suggests strong and perhaps violent tornadoes will be possible over parts of MS, AL, and GA. However, this solution is much slower with the dryline than other models, and may be overdone with instability and low-level shear. Using the preferred ECWMF solution, the dryline will extend from southern MS into central AL Thursday afternoon, with early day storms reinforcing a warm front roughly from Birmingham AL to Atlanta GA. Outflow could potentially push the warm front farther south. Supercells will be possible both along the dryline and along the warm front, with strong tornadoes possible. The strongest lift will occur early in the period related to warm advection, and this will lift northeast during the day. However, subtle lift along the dryline will favor supercells, as opposed to a linear storm mode. MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is possible, with midlevel lapse rates of 6.5 to 7.0 C/km aiding updraft vigor. Regardless of preferred model, this event will be adjusted with time as predictability increases, with categorical upgrades possible. Elsewhere, lift associated with a low-amplitude shortwave trough moving into the central Plains may support isolated strong storms along a cold front over NE, KS and OK where weak instability will develop beneath a northwest flow regime. ..Jewell.. 04/21/2020

ENH risk issued... large area of hatched 30 percent

Watching soccer on TV is better watched with Spanish commentary/commentators. Can't convince me otherwise, unless it's the EPL commentators.

Guess I missed why, but why did TAE (NWS Tallahassee) have its warnings issued first by JAX (NWS Jacksonville) and is now having them issued by HGX (NWS Houston/Galveston) in Texas? ETA: I found this on the Twitter page - https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSTallahassee/status/1252105363110932481 Would that be why?

Maybe a lil something? Day 2 morning OTLK from SPC

He said he would take his practice swings, get in the box, and then zoom the pitch would go right by before he could even think of swinging lol He played baseball for quite a while in college and Lower level minors... he was one of those pitchers who threw submarine style, which was kind of new at the time I believe since not many threw that way. His arm angle was pretty low too. But he was one of those pitchers who hated giving up HRs and would drill you the next time you came up if he thought you were celebrating too much lol One of my other favorite baseball stories with my dad was also when he was living in Michigan... he wasn't pitching that night but had a good buddy who was, and he was sitting on the bench. 1st inning starts, and an opponent player absolutely crushes a HR to left field. He tosses the bat and runs around the bases slowly. My dad tells his buddy next time to fire the ball at his ribs. 4th inning, guy comes up again. Curveball catches too much of the plate, ball again destroyed to right field. Guy starts dancing down first base line and stuff. My dad charges out of the dugout and plants the guy and starts a brawl in the field. Think he got something like a 5 game ban at the time

Since we are talking baseball, my dad got to bat against I believe it was Greg Maddux in a league when he was living in Michigan. This was just before he got into the MLB at age 18/19 years old. Watched 3 pitches go by he said at what looked like 100 mph and then went back to the bench lol

Odd that there isn't even a mention of possible upgrade to HIGH at all...

hmm

VA order is until June 10th... so unless there's a change... not opening anytime in May

Thank you!

Yeah... I'm going to need both of those recipes please

https://mobile.twitter.com/Cyclonebiskit/status/1250882075999080448

Singapore

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 908 PM EDT Thu Apr 16 2020 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016>018-504-VAZ053-054-057-170915- /O.EXA.KLWX.FZ.W.0003.200417T0400Z-200417T1300Z/ District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-King George- Including the cities of Washington, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, and Dahlgren 908 PM EDT Thu Apr 16 2020 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 degrees expected. * WHERE...The Baltimore-Washington metropolitan corridor as well as southern Maryland and King George County Virginia * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

Everybody along and east of i81 corridor gets a freeze warning tonight

Confirmed EF1 tornado in Carroll county on Monday https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202004152000-KLWX-NOUS41-PNSLWX&fbclid=IwAR1v0GiDT6Plc6TB1CFU8BtJI8JlGNWufJewk9olrBhScRSUFTQ2zCCov7U

Okay Jar Jar