12z GFS is laughable: cutter, suppression, suppression, cutter.
Blending other guidance its probably more like: Cutter, SWFE, Suppression, Cutter.
Just end it already.
I will say that the large scale ridge-trough pattern is there for an east coast storm. However, there are two kickers in the flow mucking things up. The vort over St. Louis dropping in doesn't phase in time and the just off screen vort slamming into British Columbia shifts the whole pattern east.