Since we are punting for the next ~3 weeks, a look at the big 3 12z ens means at H5. Unsure if this is still cool or we are holding out for metaphysical accumulations in the upstate this weekend.
PAC looks like ass, AO should hold slightly neg, NAO around neutral, MJO (http://www.americanwx.com/raleighwx/MJO/MJO.html) would argue temps avg close to normal throughout the period, with a above normal period thereafter, any real potential being close to Feb 1st and beyond. I would keep an eye on the 23-24th, doubt the setup is there for the deep south but the MA and NE could cash in if we do in fact get a storm.